HonestElo
← welterweight

Neil Magny

Active #22 welterweight · Orthodox · 191 cm · reach 203 cm
Elo rating
1632 ±40
LCB 1581
Rank
#22
top 23% of division
UFC record
24-13-0
KO 7 · Sub 3 · Dec 14
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Dec 13, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

37 fights · tap & drag
Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Jon Manley Δ+29Aug 3, 2013 — L vs Sergio Moraes Δ-36Nov 6, 2013 — L vs Seth Baczynski Δ-23Feb 1, 2014 — W vs Gasan Umalatov Δ+31May 10, 2014 — W vs Tim Means Δ+29Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Rodrigo de Lima Δ+17Aug 23, 2014 — W vs Alex Garcia Δ+17Oct 25, 2014 — W vs William Macario Δ+14Feb 14, 2015 — W vs Kiichi Kunimoto Δ+18May 16, 2015 — W vs Hyun Gyu Lim Δ+17Aug 1, 2015 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-16Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Erick Silva Δ+15Nov 21, 2015 — W vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ+18Mar 19, 2016 — W vs Hector Lombard Δ+16Aug 20, 2016 — L vs Lorenz Larkin Δ-26Dec 30, 2016 — W vs Johny Hendricks Δ+17Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Carlos Condit Δ+15May 27, 2018 — W vs Craig White Δ+12Nov 17, 2018 — L vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ-20Mar 7, 2020 — W vs Li Jingliang Δ+15Jun 6, 2020 — W vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ+14Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Robbie Lawler Δ+14Jan 20, 2021 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-17May 8, 2021 — W vs Geoff Neal Δ+15Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+10Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Δ-22Nov 5, 2022 — W vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ+17Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-19Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Phil Rowe Δ+13Aug 19, 2023 — L vs Ian Machado Garry Δ-17Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Mike Malott Δ+16Aug 24, 2024 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-20Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Carlos Prates Δ-20Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ+17Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Jake Matthews Δ+18Dec 13, 2025 — L vs Yaroslav Amosov Δ-26 14301502157416451717 201520172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":163,"elo":1529,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Jon Manley","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":53.3,"y":189.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":70.6,"y":206.5,"elo":1470,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":3,"x":86.5,"y":183.4,"elo":1501,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Gasan Umalatov","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":104.4,"y":161.9,"elo":1530,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":113.3,"y":149.5,"elo":1547,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Rodrigo de Lima","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":123.5,"y":137.2,"elo":1564,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Alex Garcia","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":135,"y":126.6,"elo":1578,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"William Macario","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":155.4,"y":113.7,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Kiichi Kunimoto","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":172,"y":101.5,"elo":1612,"date":"2015-05-16","opp":"Hyun Gyu Lim","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":186,"y":113.2,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":190,"y":101.9,"elo":1612,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Erick Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":206.4,"y":88.7,"elo":1630,"date":"2015-11-21","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":228.1,"y":77.1,"elo":1645,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":256.1,"y":96.1,"elo":1620,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":15,"x":280.2,"y":83.5,"elo":1637,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":326.3,"y":96.1,"elo":1620,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":346.7,"y":85.1,"elo":1634,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":373.7,"y":76.5,"elo":1646,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Craig White","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":19,"x":405.4,"y":91,"elo":1626,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":20,"x":492.1,"y":80.1,"elo":1641,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":21,"x":508.7,"y":69.9,"elo":1655,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":524,"y":59.5,"elo":1669,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":23,"x":550.2,"y":72.3,"elo":1652,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":569.9,"y":61.1,"elo":1667,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":25,"x":628.6,"y":53.5,"elo":1677,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":26,"x":645.1,"y":69.6,"elo":1655,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Shavkat Rakhmonov","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":27,"x":669.4,"y":56.9,"elo":1673,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":28,"x":683.4,"y":71.1,"elo":1653,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":29,"x":711.5,"y":61.9,"elo":1666,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Phil Rowe","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":30,"x":721.7,"y":74.4,"elo":1649,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":31,"x":749.7,"y":62.9,"elo":1664,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Mike Malott","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":32,"x":789.3,"y":78.1,"elo":1644,"date":"2024-08-24","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":33,"x":803.3,"y":93.1,"elo":1624,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Carlos Prates","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":34,"x":851.8,"y":80.3,"elo":1641,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":35,"x":862,"y":67.1,"elo":1659,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":36,"x":876,"y":86.5,"elo":1632,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Yaroslav Amosov","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 13, 2025 Yaroslav Amosov L -26
Sep 27, 2025 Jake Matthews W +18
Aug 2, 2025 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos W +17
Nov 9, 2024 Carlos Prates L -20
Aug 24, 2024 Michael Morales L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.17 avg 3.61
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.27 avg 2.86
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.02 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
55% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.25 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
42%
10 / 24
Finish rate
KO
7
29% of wins
SUB
3
13% of wins
DEC
14
58% of wins
KO: 7 (29%) 7 Sub: 3 (13%) 3 Dec: 14 (58%) 14
Finishes by round
10 total
R1
1 10%
R2
3 30%
R3
6 60%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1593
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
20.1
actual +4 vs expected