HonestElo
← welterweight

Neil Magny "The Haitian Sensation"

Active #17 welterweight · age 39 · Orthodox · 6'3" 191 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 80" 203 cm
At a glance
  • Career-best 7-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2013
Elo rating
1593
Global Elo 1645 ±40
Rank
#17
top 21% of division
UFC record
25-13-0
KO 8 · Sub 3 · Dec 14
Streak
+1
Δ90d +13 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Aug 15, 2026
Win by KO · R2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

38 fights · tap & drag
Feb 23, 2013 — W vs Jon Manley Δ+29Aug 3, 2013 — L vs Sergio Moraes Δ-36Nov 6, 2013 — L vs Seth Baczynski Δ-23Feb 1, 2014 — W vs Gasan Umalatov Δ+31May 10, 2014 — W vs Tim Means Δ+29Jun 28, 2014 — W vs Rodrigo de Lima Δ+17Aug 23, 2014 — W vs Alex Garcia Δ+17Oct 25, 2014 — W vs William Macario Δ+14Feb 14, 2015 — W vs Kiichi Kunimoto Δ+19May 16, 2015 — W vs Hyun Gyu Lim Δ+17Aug 1, 2015 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-16Aug 23, 2015 — W vs Erick Silva Δ+15Nov 21, 2015 — W vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ+18Mar 19, 2016 — W vs Hector Lombard Δ+16Aug 20, 2016 — L vs Lorenz Larkin Δ-26Dec 30, 2016 — W vs Johny Hendricks Δ+17Sep 9, 2017 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-17Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Carlos Condit Δ+15May 27, 2018 — W vs Craig White Δ+12Nov 17, 2018 — L vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Δ-20Mar 7, 2020 — W vs Li Jingliang Δ+15Jun 6, 2020 — W vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ+14Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Robbie Lawler Δ+14Jan 20, 2021 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-17May 8, 2021 — W vs Geoff Neal Δ+15Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Max Griffin Δ+10Jun 25, 2022 — L vs Shavkat Rakhmonov Δ-22Nov 5, 2022 — W vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ+17Jan 21, 2023 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-19Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Phil Rowe Δ+13Aug 19, 2023 — L vs Ian Machado Garry Δ-17Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Mike Malott Δ+16Aug 24, 2024 — L vs Michael Morales Δ-20Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Carlos Prates Δ-20Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ+17Sep 27, 2025 — W vs Jake Matthews Δ+18Dec 13, 2025 — L vs Yaroslav Amosov Δ-26Aug 15, 2026 — W vs Ramiz Brahimaj Δ+13 1350140014501500155016001650 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":275.3,"elo":1476,"date":"2013-02-23","opp":"Jon Manley","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":113.6,"y":313.5,"elo":1441,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Sergio Moraes","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":127.5,"y":338,"elo":1418,"date":"2013-11-06","opp":"Seth Baczynski","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":3,"x":140.2,"y":304.6,"elo":1449,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Gasan Umalatov","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":154.5,"y":273.7,"elo":1478,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":5,"x":161.7,"y":255.8,"elo":1495,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"Rodrigo de Lima","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":169.9,"y":237.9,"elo":1511,"date":"2014-08-23","opp":"Alex Garcia","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":179.1,"y":222.7,"elo":1526,"date":"2014-10-25","opp":"William Macario","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":195.5,"y":202.6,"elo":1544,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Kiichi Kunimoto","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":208.8,"y":185,"elo":1561,"date":"2015-05-16","opp":"Hyun Gyu Lim","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":220.1,"y":202.1,"elo":1545,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":223.3,"y":186.3,"elo":1560,"date":"2015-08-23","opp":"Erick Silva","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":236.5,"y":167.2,"elo":1578,"date":"2015-11-21","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":253.9,"y":150.5,"elo":1593,"date":"2016-03-19","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":14,"x":276.4,"y":178,"elo":1568,"date":"2016-08-20","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":15,"x":295.7,"y":159.9,"elo":1585,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":332.7,"y":178,"elo":1568,"date":"2017-09-09","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":17,"x":349.1,"y":162.2,"elo":1582,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":18,"x":370.8,"y":149.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2018-05-27","opp":"Craig White","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":19,"x":396.2,"y":170.7,"elo":1574,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Santiago Ponzinibbio","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":20,"x":465.9,"y":155.1,"elo":1589,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Li Jingliang","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":21,"x":479.2,"y":140.3,"elo":1603,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":491.5,"y":125.4,"elo":1617,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":23,"x":512.5,"y":143.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":24,"x":528.3,"y":127.7,"elo":1615,"date":"2021-05-08","opp":"Geoff Neal","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":25,"x":575.5,"y":116.8,"elo":1625,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":26,"x":588.8,"y":139.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Shavkat Rakhmonov","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":27,"x":608.2,"y":121.6,"elo":1620,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":28,"x":619.5,"y":142.2,"elo":1601,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":29,"x":642,"y":128.8,"elo":1614,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Phil Rowe","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":30,"x":650.2,"y":147,"elo":1597,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":31,"x":672.8,"y":130.3,"elo":1612,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Mike Malott","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":32,"x":704.5,"y":152.3,"elo":1592,"date":"2024-08-24","opp":"Michael Morales","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":33,"x":715.8,"y":174.1,"elo":1571,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Carlos Prates","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":34,"x":754.7,"y":155.5,"elo":1589,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":35,"x":762.9,"y":136.5,"elo":1606,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Jake Matthews","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":36,"x":774.2,"y":164.6,"elo":1580,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Yaroslav Amosov","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":37,"x":810,"y":151,"elo":1593,"date":"2026-08-15","opp":"Ramiz Brahimaj","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 15, 2026 Ramiz Brahimaj W +13
Dec 13, 2025 Yaroslav Amosov L -26
Sep 27, 2025 Jake Matthews W +18
Aug 2, 2025 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos W +17
Nov 9, 2024 Carlos Prates L -20
5 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×4
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$250,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Neil Magny has earned 5. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
11 / 25
Finish rate
KO
8
32% of wins
SUB
3
12% of wins
DEC
14
56% of wins
KO: 8 (32%) 8 Sub: 3 (12%) 3 Dec: 14 (56%) 14
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
1 9%
R2
4 36%
R3
6 55%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1530 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
58% Distance
  • Distance 58%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 24%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
77%
of losses by finish
10 of 13 · usually R1
4 KO/TKO 6 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1572
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
7
of 25 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Kelvin Gastelum
Elo 1654 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
20.8
+4.3 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 38 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1520
Notable wins
Kelvin Gastelum 1654 Johny Hendricks 1641 Daniel Rodriguez 1634 Geoff Neal 1633 Jake Matthews 1631 Robbie Lawler 1613
Career at a glance
Octagon time
7h 31m
Avg fight time
11:52
Fights per year
2.8
Since last fight
0d
Bonuses
5
Ground control
1h 36m
vs Compare Neil Magny with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1814
Max Holloway
#2 · Elo 1690
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1675
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Neil Magny on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.