HonestElo
← lightweight

Gabe Green "Gifted"

Active #63 lightweight · age 33 · Switch · 5'10" 178 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1456
Global Elo 1501 ±35
Rank
#63
top 70% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
+1
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
May 17, 2025
Win by Submission · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 3m
Avg fight time
10:30
Fights per year
1.2
Since last fight
1y 1mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
May 30, 2020 — L vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ-26Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Phil Rowe Δ+31Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Yohan Lainesse Δ+33Jul 2, 2022 — L vs Ian Machado Garry Δ-28May 13, 2023 — L vs Bryan Battle Δ-29May 17, 2025 — W vs Matheus Camilo Δ+19 1400142014401460148015001520 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":331.1,"elo":1430,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":192.9,"y":248.7,"elo":1461,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Phil Rowe","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":368,"y":161.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Yohan Lainesse","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":393,"y":235.1,"elo":1466,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Ian Machado Garry","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":518.1,"y":312.9,"elo":1436,"date":"2023-05-13","opp":"Bryan Battle","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":261.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Matheus Camilo","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 17, 2025 Matheus Camilo W +19
May 13, 2023 Bryan Battle L -29
Jul 2, 2022 Ian Machado Garry L -28
Apr 30, 2022 Yohan Lainesse W +33
Feb 13, 2021 Phil Rowe W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
2 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 353 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
45% Head
  • Head 45%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
90% Distance
  • Distance 90%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
33%
of losses by finish
1 of 3
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 2 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1521
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Phil Rowe
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.8
+0.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1538
1500

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Gabe Green on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.