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light heavyweight
Other bouts 7
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Corner A
Julius Walker
#32 1-3-0
Elo 1410
VS
Corner B
Gerald Meerschaert
#49 12-14-0
Elo 1447

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Julius Walker 50.0%
Corner B Gerald Meerschaert 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 7
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi Main event · bantamweight Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert lightweight Francisco Prado vs Artur Minev welterweight Daria Zhelezniakova vs Alice Pereira women's bantamweight Felipe Franco vs Alexander Poppeck light heavyweight Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto flyweight Rj Harris vs Allen Frye Jr. heavyweight

Notable

Size

Cross-division matchup: the model gives Walker +67 Elo for a ~20 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.

Meerschaert

Finishes 100% of wins (1 KO · 11 SUB).

Meerschaert

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Form

Both enter off a loss (Jun 2026 / May 2026).

Tale of the tape

1-3-0 UFC record 12-14-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 11
-2 Streak -5
27 Age 38
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1450 Global Elo 1493
1410 Elo rating 1447
Julius Walker — Notable ▼
At a glance
Gerald Meerschaert — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 5-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2016

Julius Walker — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 137 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
48% Head
  • Head 48%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
53% Distance
  • Distance 53%
  • Clinch 30%
  • Ground 17%

Gerald Meerschaert — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 652 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.72
2.95
div avg 4.76
54%
45%
div avg 51%
4.18
3.44
div avg 4.12
43%
54%
div avg 52%
4.07
1.70
div avg 1.35
38%
29%
div avg 39%
100%
40%
div avg 71%
0.00
1.49
div avg 0.58
8
3
div avg 2

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Julius Walker
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Gerald Meerschaert
finished 57%
8 of 14 losses
Gerald Meerschaert
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 11
can finish?
Julius Walker
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1532 (Julius Walker) vs 1532 (Gerald Meerschaert).

Julius Walker red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1532
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rafael Cerqueira
Elo 1439 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
−0.8 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1566
1553
Gerald Meerschaert blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1532
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Makhmud Muradov
Elo 1590 at fight time
Expected wins
13.7
−1.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 26 fights
1471
1558
Corner A recent form
Julius Walker
Corner B recent form
Gerald Meerschaert
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Julius Walker & Gerald Meerschaert on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.