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✓ Julius Walker won · by TKO · R2

Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Julius Walker
#30 2-3-0
Elo 1439
VS
Corner B
Gerald Meerschaert
#31 12-15-0
Elo 1426
Final result · recorded Oct 11, 2026
Julius Walker
defeated Gerald Meerschaert by TKO in round 2

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Julius Walker 84.7% · Gerald Meerschaert 15.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Julius Walker 43.8% · Gerald Meerschaert 56.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Main event · middleweight Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert lightweight Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza women's strawweight Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi bantamweight Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova women's bantamweight Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto women's flyweight Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim lightweight Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan welterweight Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro light heavyweight

Notable

Meerschaert

Finishes 100% of wins (1 KO · 11 SUB).

Meerschaert

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

2-3-0 UFC record 12-15-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 11
+1 Streak -6
27 Age 38
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1487 Global Elo 1472
1439 Elo rating 1426
Julius Walker — Notable ▼
At a glance
Gerald Meerschaert — Notable ▼
At a glance

Julius Walker — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 175 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
45% Distance
  • Distance 45%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 32%

Gerald Meerschaert — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 661 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.85
2.88
div avg 4.82
57%
45%
div avg 52%
3.59
3.48
div avg 3.84
42%
53%
div avg 54%
4.29
1.63
div avg 1.87
45%
29%
div avg 42%
100%
38%
div avg 68%
0.33
1.44
div avg 1.65
9
3
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Julius Walker
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Gerald Meerschaert
finished 60%
9 of 15 losses
Gerald Meerschaert
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 11
can finish?
Julius Walker
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1525 (Julius Walker) vs 1522 (Gerald Meerschaert).

Julius Walker red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1525
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Gerald Meerschaert
Elo 1493 at fight time
Expected wins
2.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1566
1493
Gerald Meerschaert blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1522
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 12 UFC wins
Toughest win
Makhmud Muradov
Elo 1590 at fight time
Expected wins
14.3
−2.3 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 27 fights
1471
1450
Corner A recent form
Julius Walker
Corner B recent form
Gerald Meerschaert
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Julius Walker & Gerald Meerschaert on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.