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✓ Brendson Ribeiro won · by Submission · R1

Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Felipe Franco
#32 1-2-0
Elo 1419
VS
Corner B
Brendson Ribeiro
#33 3-6-0
Elo 1416
Final result · recorded Oct 11, 2026
Brendson Ribeiro
defeated Felipe Franco by Submission in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Felipe Franco 67.1% · Brendson Ribeiro 32.9%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Felipe Franco 61.3% · Brendson Ribeiro 38.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Main event · middleweight Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert lightweight Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert light heavyweight Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza women's strawweight Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi bantamweight Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova women's bantamweight Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto women's flyweight Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim lightweight Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan welterweight

Notable

Ribeiro

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

1-2-0 UFC record 3-6-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 2
-1 Streak +1
25 Age 30
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
76" 193 cm Reach 81" 206 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1472 Global Elo 1461
1419 Elo rating 1416
Felipe Franco — Notable ▼
At a glance
Brendson Ribeiro — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by submission
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1

Felipe Franco — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 61 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
85% Head
  • Head 85%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
44% Ground
  • Distance 43%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 44%

Brendson Ribeiro — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 174 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 29%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
97% Distance
  • Distance 97%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.60
2.64
div avg 4.82
50%
40%
div avg 52%
2.17
3.38
div avg 3.84
50%
52%
div avg 54%
2.56
0.68
div avg 1.87
44%
38%
div avg 42%
86%
33%
div avg 68%
0.00
0.68
div avg 1.65
2
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Felipe Franco
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Brendson Ribeiro
finished 67%
4 of 6 losses
Brendson Ribeiro
67% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 2
can finish?
Felipe Franco
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Brendson Ribeiro has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1540 vs 1502, 0 quality wins to 0.

Felipe Franco red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1502
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
1.5
−0.5 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1567
1439
Brendson Ribeiro blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1540
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Felipe Franco
Elo 1512 at fight time
Expected wins
3.9
−0.9 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1500
1512
Corner A recent form
Felipe Franco
Corner B recent form
Brendson Ribeiro
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Felipe Franco & Brendson Ribeiro on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.