Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 11
- 1middleweight MainBrendan AllenvsChristian Leroy Duncan
- 2lightweightMatheus CamilovsJai Herbert
- 3light heavyweightJulius WalkervsGerald Meerschaert
- 4women's strawweightLoopy GodinezvsKetlen Souza
- 5bantamweightMalcolm WellmakervsOtari Tanzilovi
- 10women's bantamweightAlice PereiravsDaria Zhelezniakova
- 12women's flyweightErnesta KareckaitevsMelissa Gatto
- 13Not linkedheavyweightAllen Frye Jr.vsRJ Harris
- 14featherweightAndre FilivsKai Kamaka III
- 16lightweightFrancisco PradovsIsmael Bonfim
- 18light heavyweightFelipe FrancovsBrendson Ribeiro
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Niko Price 25.5% · Leon Shahbazyan 74.5%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Niko Price 44.9% · Leon Shahbazyan 55.1%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
Finishes 78% of wins (5 KO · 2 SUB; 56% of wins end in round 1).
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 9-11-0 | UFC record | 0-2-0 |
| KO 5 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +1 | Streak | -2 |
| 37 | Age | 30 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 6'4" 193 cm |
| 76" 193 cm | Reach | 74" 188 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1509 | Global Elo | 1478 |
| 1463 | Elo rating | 1452 |
Niko Price — Notable ▼
- 78% of wins by KO or submission
- 56% of wins finished in round 1
- UFC veteran since 2016
Leon Shahbazyan — Notable ▼
Niko Price — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 911 landed total · career
- Head 63%
- Body 16%
- Leg 21%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 10%
- Ground 15%
Leon Shahbazyan — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position.
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 3Daniil Donchenko7.14
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.88
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Chiesa1.73
- 5Themba Gorimbo1.75
- 1Daniil Donchenko73%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Islam Makhachev61%
- 5Santiago Ponzinibbio61%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Jacobe Smith5.06
- 3Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith83%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Niko Price has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1530 vs 1496, 2 quality wins to 0.
- Oct 10, 2026
- Mar 28, 2026
- Feb 7, 2026
- Jun 28, 2025
- Oct 12, 2024
- Oct 10, 2026
- Jun 20, 2026