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Andre Petroski

Active #34 middleweight · age 35 · Switch · 6'0" 183 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 73" 185 cm
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1512
Global Elo 1560 ±37
Rank
#34
top 47% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
-3
Δ90d -26 · Δ1y -50
Last fight
May 16, 2026
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 14m
Avg fight time
10:20
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
2.8
Ground control
53m
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Aug 28, 2021 — W vs Micheal Gillmore Δ+33Oct 30, 2021 — W vs Hu Yaozong Δ+24May 14, 2022 — W vs Nick Maximov Δ+33Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Wellington Turman Δ+22Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+25Oct 14, 2023 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-19Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Jacob Malkoun Δ-22Jul 13, 2024 — W vs Josh Fremd Δ+11Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Dylan Budka Δ+10Feb 15, 2025 — W vs Rodolfo Vieira Δ+14Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ-19Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Cam Rowston Δ-24May 16, 2026 — L vs Cody Brundage Δ-26 14501475150015251550157516001625 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":344.9,"elo":1486,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Micheal Gillmore","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":116.3,"y":301.9,"elo":1509,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Hu Yaozong","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":198.3,"y":241,"elo":1542,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Nick Maximov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":274.4,"y":201.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Wellington Turman","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":4,"x":391.5,"y":156.6,"elo":1589,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":414.9,"y":191.5,"elo":1570,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":485.1,"y":232.6,"elo":1547,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Jacob Malkoun","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":529,"y":213.2,"elo":1558,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Josh Fremd","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":552.4,"y":195.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Dylan Budka","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":9,"x":619.8,"y":170.5,"elo":1581,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Rodolfo Vieira","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":669.5,"y":205.6,"elo":1562,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":713.4,"y":249.5,"elo":1538,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Cam Rowston","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":296.4,"elo":1512,"date":"2026-05-16","opp":"Cody Brundage","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 16, 2026 Cody Brundage L -26
Sep 27, 2025 Cam Rowston L -24
Jun 14, 2025 Edmen Shahbazyan L -19
Feb 15, 2025 Rodolfo Vieira W +14
Sep 7, 2024 Dylan Budka W +10

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 370 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 22%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
80%
of losses by finish
4 of 5 · usually R1
4 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1505
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Gerald Meerschaert
Elo 1561 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
7.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1439

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Andre Petroski on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.