HonestElo
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Andre Petroski

Active #27 middleweight
Elo rating
1585 ±38
LCB 1536
Rank
#27
top 32% of division
UFC record
8-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -43
Last fight
Sep 27, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

12 fights · tap & drag
Aug 28, 2021 — W vs Micheal Gillmore Δ+33Oct 30, 2021 — W vs Hu Yaozong Δ+24May 14, 2022 — W vs Nick Maximov Δ+33Nov 12, 2022 — W vs Wellington Turman Δ+22Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+25Oct 14, 2023 — L vs Michel Pereira Δ-19Mar 30, 2024 — L vs Jacob Malkoun Δ-22Jul 13, 2024 — W vs Josh Fremd Δ+11Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Dylan Budka Δ+10Feb 15, 2025 — W vs Rodolfo Vieira Δ+14Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ-19Sep 27, 2025 — L vs Cam Rowston Δ-24 14931539158516301676 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Micheal Gillmore","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":60,"y":162.4,"elo":1557,"date":"2021-10-30","opp":"Hu Yaozong","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":172,"y":123.9,"elo":1590,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Nick Maximov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":276,"y":99,"elo":1611,"date":"2022-11-12","opp":"Wellington Turman","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":4,"x":436,"y":70.3,"elo":1636,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":468,"y":92.5,"elo":1617,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Michel Pereira","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":6,"x":564,"y":118.5,"elo":1595,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Jacob Malkoun","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":7,"x":624,"y":106.3,"elo":1605,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Josh Fremd","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":656,"y":94.8,"elo":1615,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Dylan Budka","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":9,"x":748,"y":79.1,"elo":1629,"date":"2025-02-15","opp":"Rodolfo Vieira","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":816,"y":101.4,"elo":1609,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":876,"y":129.2,"elo":1585,"date":"2025-09-27","opp":"Cam Rowston","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 27, 2025 Cam Rowston L -24
Jun 14, 2025 Edmen Shahbazyan L -19
Feb 15, 2025 Rodolfo Vieira W +14
Sep 7, 2024 Dylan Budka W +10
Jul 13, 2024 Josh Fremd W +11

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.50 avg 3.88
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.48 avg 3.09
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.79 avg 1.36
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
52% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.14 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
R3
2 67%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.2
actual +1 vs expected