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Deron Winn

Inactive · Orthodox · 168 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1486 ±37
LCB 1438
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Jun 18, 2022
L by KO

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Eric Spicely Δ+25Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Darren Stewart Δ-31Mar 7, 2020 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-27Dec 19, 2020 — W vs Antonio Arroyo Δ+29Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Phil Hawes Δ-28 14271461149615311565 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":85.1,"elo":1525,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Eric Spicely","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":116.1,"y":132.9,"elo":1494,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Darren Stewart","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":226.1,"y":174.9,"elo":1467,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":450,"y":130.3,"elo":1496,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Antonio Arroyo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":173.8,"elo":1467,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Phil Hawes","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 18, 2022 Phil Hawes L -28
Dec 19, 2020 Antonio Arroyo W +29
Mar 7, 2020 Gerald Meerschaert L -27
Oct 18, 2019 Darren Stewart L -31
Jun 22, 2019 Eric Spicely W +25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.33 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.91 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.07 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
53% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
40% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1504
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.4
actual 0 vs expected