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Deron Winn

Inactive · age 37 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1438
Global Elo 1486 ±37
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Jun 18, 2022
Loss by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 7m
Avg fight time
13:20
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.7
Ground control
19m
Since last fight
4y

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jun 22, 2019 — W vs Eric Spicely Δ+25Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Darren Stewart Δ-31Mar 7, 2020 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-27Dec 19, 2020 — W vs Antonio Arroyo Δ+29Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Phil Hawes Δ-28 1400142014401460148015001520 202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":154.8,"elo":1496,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Eric Spicely","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":1,"x":167.8,"y":238.3,"elo":1464,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Darren Stewart","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":260.8,"y":311.6,"elo":1437,"date":"2020-03-07","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":3,"x":450,"y":233.7,"elo":1466,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Antonio Arroyo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":309.7,"elo":1438,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Phil Hawes","result":"L","delta":-28}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 18, 2022 Phil Hawes L -28
Dec 19, 2020 Antonio Arroyo W +29
Mar 7, 2020 Gerald Meerschaert L -27
Oct 18, 2019 Darren Stewart L -31
Jun 22, 2019 Eric Spicely W +25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 303 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 4%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
67%
of losses by finish
2 of 3
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 1 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1504
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Antonio Arroyo
Elo 1471 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.4
−0.4 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1458
1545

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Deron Winn on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.