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Dustin Stoltzfus

Active #77 middleweight · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1437 ±35
LCB 1392
Rank
#77
top 95% of division
UFC record
3-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -20
Last fight
Sep 13, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Nov 21, 2020 — L vs Kyle Daukaus Δ-31Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Rodolfo Vieira Δ-28Dec 18, 2021 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-21Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Dwight Grant Δ+36Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Abus Magomedov Δ-29Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Punahele Soriano Δ+23Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Brunno Ferreira Δ-14Nov 2, 2024 — W vs Marc-Andre Barriault Δ+21May 17, 2025 — L vs Nursulton Ruziboev Δ-11Sep 13, 2025 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-9 13801412144414771509 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":89.4,"elo":1469,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Kyle Daukaus","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":139.4,"y":135.5,"elo":1441,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Rodolfo Vieira","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":214.1,"y":170.6,"elo":1420,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":3,"x":315.9,"y":112.1,"elo":1455,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Dwight Grant","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":339.7,"y":159.3,"elo":1427,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Abus Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":560.3,"y":121.6,"elo":1450,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":652,"y":144,"elo":1436,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Brunno Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":723.3,"y":109,"elo":1457,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Marc-Andre Barriault","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":818.3,"y":126.8,"elo":1446,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Nursulton Ruziboev","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":142,"elo":1437,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-9}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 13, 2025 Kelvin Gastelum L -9
May 17, 2025 Nursulton Ruziboev L -11
Nov 2, 2024 Marc-Andre Barriault W +21
Jun 8, 2024 Brunno Ferreira L -14
Dec 2, 2023 Punahele Soriano W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.96 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.93 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
48% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.83 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.91 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1545
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.9
actual -1 vs expected