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Dustin Stoltzfus

Active #68 middleweight · age 34 · Orthodox · 6'0" 183 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 67% of wins by KO or submission
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1392
Global Elo 1437 ±34
Rank
#68
top 96% of division
UFC record
3-7-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -9
Last fight
Sep 13, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 44m
Avg fight time
10:22
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.1
Ground control
29m
Since last fight
9mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Nov 21, 2020 — L vs Kyle Daukaus Δ-31Jul 17, 2021 — L vs Rodolfo Vieira Δ-28Dec 18, 2021 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-21Jul 16, 2022 — W vs Dwight Grant Δ+36Sep 3, 2022 — L vs Abus Magomedov Δ-29Dec 2, 2023 — W vs Punahele Soriano Δ+23Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Brunno Ferreira Δ-14Nov 2, 2024 — W vs Marc-Andre Barriault Δ+21May 17, 2025 — L vs Nursulton Ruziboev Δ-11Sep 13, 2025 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-9 1340136013801400142014401460 20212022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":184.4,"elo":1425,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Kyle Daukaus","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":187.5,"y":259.6,"elo":1396,"date":"2021-07-17","opp":"Rodolfo Vieira","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":2,"x":250.6,"y":316.9,"elo":1375,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":3,"x":336.7,"y":221.5,"elo":1411,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Dwight Grant","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":356.8,"y":298.5,"elo":1382,"date":"2022-09-03","opp":"Abus Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":5,"x":543.2,"y":236.9,"elo":1405,"date":"2023-12-02","opp":"Punahele Soriano","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":620.7,"y":273.5,"elo":1391,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Brunno Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":680.9,"y":216.4,"elo":1413,"date":"2024-11-02","opp":"Marc-Andre Barriault","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":761.2,"y":245.5,"elo":1402,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Nursulton Ruziboev","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":270.3,"elo":1392,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-9}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Sep 13, 2025 Kelvin Gastelum L -9
May 17, 2025 Nursulton Ruziboev L -11
Nov 2, 2024 Marc-Andre Barriault W +21
Jun 8, 2024 Brunno Ferreira L -14
Dec 2, 2023 Punahele Soriano W +23

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 340 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
51% Head
  • Head 51%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 9%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
57%
of losses by finish
4 of 7 · usually R1
2 KO/TKO 2 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1545
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Punahele Soriano
Elo 1516 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.9
−0.9 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1478
1603

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Dustin Stoltzfus on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.