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✓ Loopy Godinez won · by Decision

Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza — Honest Elo matchup

women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night
Oct 10, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Loopy Godinez
#11 10-6-0
Elo 1538
VS
Corner B
Ketlen Souza
#29 4-4-0
Elo 1451
Final result · recorded Oct 11, 2026
Loopy Godinez
defeated Ketlen Souza by Decision

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Loopy Godinez 63.8% · Ketlen Souza 36.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Loopy Godinez 57.6% · Ketlen Souza 42.4%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Main event · middleweight Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert lightweight Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert light heavyweight Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi bantamweight Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova women's bantamweight Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto women's flyweight Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III featherweight Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim lightweight Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan welterweight Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro light heavyweight

Tale of the tape

10-6-0 UFC record 4-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
+1 Streak -1
33 Age 32
5'2" 158 cm Height 5'3" 160 cm
61" 155 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1581 Global Elo 1501
1538 Elo rating 1451
Loopy Godinez — Notable ▼
At a glance
Ketlen Souza — Notable ▼
At a glance

Loopy Godinez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 954 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
78% Head
  • Head 78%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 6%

Ketlen Souza — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 336 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 1%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.43
4.13
div avg 4.88
49%
53%
div avg 48%
3.96
4.00
div avg 4.16
62%
53%
div avg 54%
2.93
0.37
div avg 1.78
39%
13%
div avg 46%
77%
63%
div avg 67%
0.77
0.18
div avg 0.58
4
3
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Loopy Godinez
20% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 2
can finish?
Ketlen Souza
finished 25%
1 of 4 losses
Ketlen Souza
50% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Loopy Godinez
finished 17%
1 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Loopy Godinez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1569 vs 1522, 0 quality wins to 0.

Loopy Godinez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1569
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tabatha Ricci
Elo 1588 at fight time
Expected wins
8.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1439
1514
Ketlen Souza blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1522
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yazmin Jauregui
Elo 1543 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+0.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1534
1568

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Ariane Carnelossi
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R1
    May 7, 2022
    Jun 6, 2026
  • L
    Angela Hill
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Split
    Aug 13, 2022
    Feb 15, 2025
Corner A recent form
Loopy Godinez
Corner B recent form
Ketlen Souza
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Loopy Godinez & Ketlen Souza on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.