HonestElo
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Makhmud Muradov

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1543 ±38
LCB 1493
Rank
UFC record
4-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Jul 22, 2023
W by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Sep 28, 2019 — W vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ+30Dec 7, 2019 — W vs Trevor Smith Δ+30Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Andrew Sanchez Δ+31Aug 28, 2021 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-37Oct 22, 2022 — L vs Caio Borralho Δ-28Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Bryan Barberena Δ+17 14851521155815941630 2020202120222023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170,"elo":1530,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":66.8,"y":126.9,"elo":1560,"date":"2019-12-07","opp":"Trevor Smith","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":319.4,"y":82.3,"elo":1590,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Andrew Sanchez","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":452.1,"y":136.3,"elo":1553,"date":"2021-08-28","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":4,"x":709,"y":177.7,"elo":1525,"date":"2022-10-22","opp":"Caio Borralho","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":152.5,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 22, 2023 Bryan Barberena W +17
Oct 22, 2022 Caio Borralho L -28
Aug 28, 2021 Gerald Meerschaert L -37
Jan 23, 2021 Andrew Sanchez W +31
Dec 7, 2019 Trevor Smith W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.91 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.38 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.82 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
67% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
78% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.18 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
R3
2 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.1
actual +1 vs expected