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Bryan Barberena

Inactive · Southpaw · 183 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1522 ±38
LCB 1472
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-10-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Mar 16, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Dec 13, 2014 — W vs Joe Ellenberger Δ+36Apr 25, 2015 — L vs Chad Laprise Δ-27Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Sage Northcutt Δ+38May 14, 2016 — W vs Warlley Alves Δ+36Dec 17, 2016 — L vs Colby Covington Δ-27Apr 22, 2017 — W vs Joe Proctor Δ+16Sep 2, 2017 — L vs Leon Edwards Δ-16Aug 25, 2018 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+17Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-16Jun 22, 2019 — L vs Randy Brown Δ-20Sep 12, 2020 — W vs Anthony Ivy Δ+13Jul 31, 2021 — L vs Jason Witt Δ-20Dec 4, 2021 — W vs Darian Weeks Δ+15Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+18Jul 2, 2022 — W vs Robbie Lawler Δ+21Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Rafael Dos Anjos Δ-15Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Gunnar Nelson Δ-16Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Makhmud Muradov Δ-17Mar 16, 2024 — L vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ-18 14691508154715861625 20162018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":145,"elo":1536,"date":"2014-12-13","opp":"Joe Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":57.5,"y":181.4,"elo":1509,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Chad Laprise","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":128.1,"y":129.3,"elo":1547,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Sage Northcutt","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":154.5,"y":80.2,"elo":1583,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":4,"x":209.2,"y":117.4,"elo":1556,"date":"2016-12-17","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":5,"x":241,"y":94.9,"elo":1573,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Joe Proctor","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":274.5,"y":116.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2017-09-02","opp":"Leon Edwards","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":364.4,"y":93.4,"elo":1574,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":408.8,"y":114.7,"elo":1558,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":440.3,"y":142,"elo":1538,"date":"2019-06-22","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":10,"x":553.2,"y":124.7,"elo":1551,"date":"2020-09-12","opp":"Anthony Ivy","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":11,"x":634.3,"y":151.4,"elo":1531,"date":"2021-07-31","opp":"Jason Witt","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":666.1,"y":131.5,"elo":1546,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Darian Weeks","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":694.3,"y":107.4,"elo":1564,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":719,"y":78.6,"elo":1585,"date":"2022-07-02","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":15,"x":757.8,"y":99.2,"elo":1570,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Rafael Dos Anjos","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":16,"x":784.3,"y":121.7,"elo":1553,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":17,"x":816,"y":145.3,"elo":1536,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Makhmud Muradov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":169.4,"elo":1518,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 16, 2024 Gerald Meerschaert L -18
Jul 22, 2023 Makhmud Muradov L -17
Mar 18, 2023 Gunnar Nelson L -16
Dec 3, 2022 Rafael Dos Anjos L -15
Jul 2, 2022 Robbie Lawler W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
5.07 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.35 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
44% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.13 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
22% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.26 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
56%
5 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
1
11% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 4 (44%) 4 Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 4 (44%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
2 40%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1588
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.3
actual 0 vs expected