Other bouts 7
- 1bantamweight MainMalcolm WellmakervsOtari Tanzilovi
- 3welterweightFrancisco PradovsArtur Minev
- 4women's bantamweightDaria ZhelezniakovavsAlice Pereira
- 5light heavyweightFelipe FrancovsAlexander Poppeck
- 6flyweightErnesta KareckaitevsMelissa Gatto
- 7light heavyweightJulius WalkervsGerald Meerschaert
- 8heavyweightRj HarrisvsAllen Frye Jr.
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Reach advantage of ~8".
Tale of the tape
| 2-1-0 | UFC record | 4-5-1 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +1 |
| 25 | Age | 38 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 69" 175 cm | Reach | 77" 196 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1537 | Global Elo | 1504 |
| 1476 | Elo rating | 1465 |
Matheus Camilo — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · lightweightStriking Defense
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
- Top 5 · lightweightTakedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
Jai Herbert — Notable ▼
- 50% of wins by KO/TKO
- 50% of wins finished in round 1
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Matheus Camilo — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 56 landed total · career
- Head 64%
- Body 18%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 91%
- Clinch 2%
- Ground 7%
Jai Herbert — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 341 landed total · career
- Head 53%
- Body 29%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 79%
- Clinch 14%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1517 (Matheus Camilo) vs 1514 (Jai Herbert).
- Jun 27, 2026
- Nov 15, 2025
- May 17, 2025
- Apr 18, 2026
- Mar 22, 2025
- Aug 3, 2024
- Jul 22, 2023
- Mar 18, 2023