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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Size

Cross-division matchup: the model gives Tanzilovi +46 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.

Tanzilovi

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Form

Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Jun 2026).

Tanzilovi

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

2-2-0 UFC record 0-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
-2 Streak -1
32 Age
5'10" 178 cm Height
71" 180 cm Reach
Switch Stance
1490 Global Elo 1512
1436 Elo rating 1486
Malcolm Wellmaker — Notable
At a glance
Otari Tanzilovi — Notable
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Malcolm Wellmaker — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 123 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
46% Body
  • Head 41%
  • Body 46%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 0%

Otari Tanzilovi — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 58 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 26%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 29%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.28
3.87
div avg 4.32
53%
65%
div avg 50%
3.93
5.07
div avg 3.34
52%
45%
div avg 58%
0.00
5.00
div avg 1.78
0%
56%
div avg 37%
43%
100%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.40
1
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Malcolm Wellmaker
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Otari Tanzilovi
finished 0%
never finished
Otari Tanzilovi
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Malcolm Wellmaker
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1490 (Malcolm Wellmaker) vs 1500 (Otari Tanzilovi).

Malcolm Wellmaker red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1490
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Cameron Saaiman
Elo 1520 at fight time
Expected wins
2.2
−0.2 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1520
1500
Otari Tanzilovi blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
Expected wins
0.5
−0.5 below schedule
Corner A recent form
Malcolm Wellmaker
Corner B recent form
Otari Tanzilovi
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Malcolm Wellmaker & Otari Tanzilovi on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.