HonestElo
← welterweight

Jack Hermansson

Active #51 welterweight · Orthodox · 185 cm · reach 196 cm
Elo rating
1570 ±39
LCB 1519
Rank
#51
top 55% of division
UFC record
11-8-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 · Dec 5
Streak
-2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -38
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Sep 3, 2016 — W vs Scott Askham Δ+30Nov 19, 2016 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-30May 28, 2017 — W vs Alex Nicholson Δ+31Aug 5, 2017 — W vs Brad Scott Δ+30Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-32May 12, 2018 — W vs Thales Leites Δ+23Dec 15, 2018 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+21Mar 30, 2019 — W vs David Branch Δ+17Apr 27, 2019 — W vs Jacare Souza Δ+20Sep 28, 2019 — L vs Jared Cannonier Δ-21Jul 18, 2020 — W vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ+21Dec 5, 2020 — L vs Marvin Vettori Δ-18May 22, 2021 — W vs Edmen Shahbazyan Δ+16Feb 5, 2022 — L vs Sean Strickland Δ-13Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Chris Curtis Δ+17Dec 3, 2022 — L vs Roman Dolidze Δ-19Feb 10, 2024 — W vs Joe Pyfer Δ+16Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-19Nov 22, 2025 — L vs Myktybek Orolbai Δ-19 14601508155516031651 2018202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":158.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Scott Askham","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":43.5,"y":191.5,"elo":1500,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":91.6,"y":156.5,"elo":1532,"date":"2017-05-28","opp":"Alex Nicholson","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":109,"y":123.4,"elo":1561,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Brad Scott","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":130.3,"y":158.7,"elo":1530,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":5,"x":179.9,"y":133.7,"elo":1552,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":6,"x":234.8,"y":110.7,"elo":1573,"date":"2018-12-15","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":7,"x":261.4,"y":92.4,"elo":1589,"date":"2019-03-30","opp":"David Branch","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":268.4,"y":70,"elo":1609,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":9,"x":307.4,"y":93.3,"elo":1588,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Jared Cannonier","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":10,"x":381.8,"y":69.4,"elo":1610,"date":"2020-07-18","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":11,"x":417.2,"y":89.8,"elo":1591,"date":"2020-12-05","opp":"Marvin Vettori","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":459.7,"y":72,"elo":1607,"date":"2021-05-22","opp":"Edmen Shahbazyan","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":13,"x":525.3,"y":87,"elo":1594,"date":"2022-02-05","opp":"Sean Strickland","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":14,"x":567.8,"y":68.5,"elo":1611,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Chris Curtis","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":601.4,"y":89.6,"elo":1592,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Roman Dolidze","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":711.3,"y":71.7,"elo":1608,"date":"2024-02-10","opp":"Joe Pyfer","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":17,"x":838.8,"y":92.5,"elo":1589,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":114,"elo":1570,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Myktybek Orolbai","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Myktybek Orolbai L -19
Jun 28, 2025 Gregory Rodrigues L -19
Feb 10, 2024 Joe Pyfer W +16
Dec 3, 2022 Roman Dolidze L -19
Jul 23, 2022 Chris Curtis W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.56 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.29 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.30 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.33 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
55%
6 / 11
Finish rate
KO
3
27% of wins
SUB
3
27% of wins
DEC
5
45% of wins
KO: 3 (27%) 3 Sub: 3 (27%) 3 Dec: 5 (45%) 5
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
5 83%
R2
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1595
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.2
actual +2 vs expected