HonestElo
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Ian Heinisch

Inactive · Orthodox · 180 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1529 ±39
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +5 · Δ1y +5
Last fight
Jul 24, 2021
L by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Cezar Ferreira Δ+37May 18, 2019 — W vs Antonio Carlos Junior Δ+34Aug 17, 2019 — L vs Derek Brunson Δ-25Dec 14, 2019 — L vs Omari Akhmedov Δ-26Jun 6, 2020 — W vs Gerald Meerschaert Δ+38Feb 13, 2021 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-13Jul 24, 2021 — L vs Nassourdine Imavov Δ-21 14801513154615781611 201920202021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":144.4,"elo":1537,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":1,"x":182.2,"y":88.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2019-05-18","opp":"Antonio Carlos Junior","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":261.3,"y":128.7,"elo":1547,"date":"2019-08-17","opp":"Derek Brunson","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":3,"x":364.8,"y":171.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":516.9,"y":109.9,"elo":1558,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Gerald Meerschaert","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":736,"y":131,"elo":1545,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":164.6,"elo":1524,"date":"2021-07-24","opp":"Nassourdine Imavov","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 24, 2021 Nassourdine Imavov L -21
Feb 13, 2021 Kelvin Gastelum L -13
Jun 6, 2020 Gerald Meerschaert W +38
Dec 14, 2019 Omari Akhmedov L -26
Aug 17, 2019 Derek Brunson L -25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.07 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.86 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.00 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
17% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.67 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.0
actual 0 vs expected