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✓ Chris Padilla won · by Submission · R3

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast — Honest Elo matchup

lightweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Chris Padilla
#10 5-0-1
Elo 1596
VS
Corner B
Nasrat Haqparast
#35 10-6-0
Elo 1522
Final result · recorded Aug 22, 2026
Chris Padilla
defeated Nasrat Haqparast by Submission in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Chris Padilla 54.8% · Nasrat Haqparast 45.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Chris Padilla 52.9% · Nasrat Haqparast 47.1%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Main event · middleweight Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves women's flyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

Padilla

Unbeaten in the UFC at 5–0.

Tale of the tape

5-0-1 UFC record 10-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 0
+1 Streak -2
31 Age 31
5'9" 175 cm Height 5'10" 178 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1622 Global Elo 1567
1596 Elo rating 1522
Chris Padilla — Notable ▼
At a glance
Nasrat Haqparast — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 86% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2017

Chris Padilla — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 455 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 33%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 6%

Nasrat Haqparast — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1191 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 4%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 5%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

6.67
6.24
div avg 4.56
54%
45%
div avg 51%
4.85
6.18
div avg 3.65
51%
62%
div avg 53%
1.10
0.31
div avg 1.98
29%
18%
div avg 38%
83%
85%
div avg 72%
0.44
0.00
div avg 0.69
2
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Chris Padilla
80% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 2
can finish?
Nasrat Haqparast
finished 50%
3 of 6 losses
Nasrat Haqparast
20% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Chris Padilla
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Nasrat Haqparast has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1566 vs 1529, 0 quality wins to 0.

Chris Padilla red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1529
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Nasrat Haqparast
Elo 1585 at fight time
Expected wins
3.3
+1.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1500
1585
Nasrat Haqparast blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Joaquim Silva
Elo 1587 at fight time
Expected wins
8.2
+1.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1428
1605
Corner A recent form
Chris Padilla
Corner B recent form
Nasrat Haqparast
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Chris Padilla & Nasrat Haqparast on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.