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light heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
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Corner A
Reinier De Ridder
#23 4-2-0
Elo 1556
VS
Corner B
Roman Dolidze
#25 9-5-0
Elo 1546

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Reinier De Ridder 50.0%
Corner B Roman Dolidze 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Main event · middleweight Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves women's flyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

Form

Both enter off a loss (Mar 2026 / Mar 2026).

Tale of the tape

4-2-0 UFC record 9-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 0
-2 Streak -2
35 Age 38
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 76" 193 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1603 Global Elo 1599
1556 Elo rating 1546
Reinier De Ridder — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 75% of wins by KO or submission
Roman Dolidze — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 56% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 44% of wins finished in round 1

Reinier De Ridder — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 203 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 32%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
76% Distance
  • Distance 76%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 9%

Roman Dolidze — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 578 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 13%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.47
3.19
div avg 4.30
49%
42%
div avg 51%
2.36
3.71
div avg 3.32
47%
48%
div avg 54%
2.56
1.16
div avg 1.77
29%
44%
div avg 48%
40%
32%
div avg 71%
0.55
0.74
div avg 0.54
5
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Reinier De Ridder
75% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Roman Dolidze
finished 20%
1 of 5 losses
Roman Dolidze
56% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Reinier De Ridder
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Reinier De Ridder has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1640 vs 1605, 2 quality wins to 3.

Reinier De Ridder red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1640
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Robert Whittaker
Elo 1687 at fight time
Expected wins
2.6
+1.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1584
1650
Notable wins
Robert Whittaker 1687 Bo Nickal 1611
Roman Dolidze blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1605
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Anthony Smith
Elo 1614 at fight time
Expected wins
7.3
+1.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights
1444
1584
Notable wins
Anthony Smith 1614 Jack Hermansson 1611 Kevin Holland 1604

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Kevin Holland
    W
    Submission · R1
    KO/TKO · R1
    Jan 18, 2025
    Oct 5, 2024
Corner A recent form
Reinier De Ridder
Corner B recent form
Roman Dolidze
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Reinier De Ridder & Roman Dolidze on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.