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Jai Herbert "Black Country Banger"

Active #59 lightweight · age 38 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 77" 196 cm
At a glance
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 50% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Elo rating
1465
Global Elo 1504 ±31
Rank
#59
top 66% of division
UFC record
4-5-1
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Apr 18, 2026
Win by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 47m
Avg fight time
10:42
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.7
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Jul 25, 2020 — L vs Francisco Trinaldo Δ-20Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Renato Moicano Δ-25Oct 23, 2021 — W vs Khama Worthy Δ+37Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Ilia Topuria Δ-23Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Kyle Nelson Δ+28Mar 18, 2023 — D vs Ludovit Klein Δ+2Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Fares Ziam Δ-15Aug 3, 2024 — W vs Rolando Bedoya Δ+15Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Chris Padilla Δ-13Apr 18, 2026 — W vs Mandel Nallo Δ+19 1380140014201440146014801500 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":250,"elo":1440,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Francisco Trinaldo","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":1,"x":205.6,"y":315.6,"elo":1415,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Renato Moicano","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":246.5,"y":217.2,"elo":1452,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"Khama Worthy","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":297.1,"y":277.7,"elo":1430,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Ilia Topuria","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":4,"x":340.4,"y":203.9,"elo":1457,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Kyle Nelson","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":422.3,"y":199.9,"elo":1459,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Ludovit Klein","result":"D","delta":2},{"i":6,"x":465.7,"y":238.8,"elo":1444,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Fares Ziam","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":595.7,"y":199.6,"elo":1459,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Rolando Bedoya","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":675.2,"y":235.3,"elo":1446,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Chris Padilla","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":184.1,"elo":1465,"date":"2026-04-18","opp":"Mandel Nallo","result":"W","delta":19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 18, 2026 Mandel Nallo W +19
Mar 22, 2025 Chris Padilla L -13
Aug 3, 2024 Rolando Bedoya W +15
Jul 22, 2023 Fares Ziam L -15
Mar 18, 2023 Ludovit Klein D +2

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 341 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5 · usually R2
2 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1514
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Mandel Nallo
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.3
−0.3 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1640
1500

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Max Holloway
#3 · Elo 1676
Justin Gaethje C
#4 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#5 · Elo 1661
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jai Herbert on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.