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✓ Carli Judice won · by TKO · R1

Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves — Honest Elo matchup

women's flyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Carli Judice
#13 4-1-0
Elo 1546
VS
Corner B
Jeisla Chaves
1-1-0
Elo 1461
Final result · recorded Aug 23, 2026
Carli Judice
defeated Jeisla Chaves by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Carli Judice 77.9% · Jeisla Chaves 22.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Carli Judice 53.4% · Jeisla Chaves 46.6%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Main event · middleweight Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

Judice

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Chaves

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

4-1-0 UFC record 1-1-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+4 Streak -1
27 Age 29
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1588 Global Elo 1511
1546 Elo rating 1461
Carli Judice — Notable ▼
At a glance
Jeisla Chaves — Notable ▼

Carli Judice — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 390 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 2%

Jeisla Chaves — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 74 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 34%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 22%
  • Ground 18%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

8.70
4.44
div avg 4.16
48%
58%
div avg 45%
4.71
4.68
div avg 3.71
60%
47%
div avg 56%
0.67
2.70
div avg 1.37
50%
50%
div avg 38%
83%
50%
div avg 65%
0.00
0.90
div avg 0.39
1
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Carli Judice
75% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Jeisla Chaves
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Jeisla Chaves
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Carli Judice
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Jeisla Chaves has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1511 vs 1486, 0 quality wins to 0.

Carli Judice red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1486
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jeisla Chaves
Elo 1526 at fight time
Expected wins
2.7
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1442
1526
Jeisla Chaves blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1511
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yuneisy Duben
Elo 1464 at fight time
Expected wins
1.0
−0.0 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1464
1558

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Yuneisy Duben
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    Decision - Split
    Mar 15, 2025
    Jun 6, 2026
Corner A recent form
Carli Judice
Corner B recent form
Jeisla Chaves
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Carli Judice & Jeisla Chaves on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.