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women's flyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
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Corner A
Carli Judice
#16 3-1-0
Elo 1509
VS
Corner B
Jeisla Chaves
1-0-0
Elo 1508

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Carli Judice 50.0%
Corner B Jeisla Chaves 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Main event · middleweight Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

Judice

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Chaves

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

3-1-0 UFC record 1-0-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+3 Streak +1
27 Age 29
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'6" 168 cm
68" 173 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1558 Global Elo 1534
1509 Elo rating 1508
Carli Judice — Notable ▼
At a glance
Jeisla Chaves — Notable ▼

Carli Judice — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 374 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
70% Head
  • Head 70%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 6%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
90% Distance
  • Distance 90%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 2%

Jeisla Chaves — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 64 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
56% Distance
  • Distance 56%
  • Clinch 23%
  • Ground 20%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

8.66
4.27
div avg 4.05
48%
65%
div avg 46%
4.66
4.13
div avg 3.57
60%
45%
div avg 55%
0.69
3.00
div avg 1.47
50%
50%
div avg 39%
83%
50%
div avg 64%
0.00
1.00
div avg 0.43
1
4
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Carli Judice
67% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Jeisla Chaves
finished —
no losses
Jeisla Chaves
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Carli Judice
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1476 (Carli Judice) vs 1464 (Jeisla Chaves).

Carli Judice red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1476
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yuneisy Duben
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
2.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1442
1493
Jeisla Chaves blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1464
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Yuneisy Duben
Elo 1464 at fight time
Expected wins
0.6
+0.5 above schedule

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Yuneisy Duben
    W
    KO/TKO · R1
    Decision - Split
    Mar 15, 2025
    Jun 6, 2026
Corner A recent form
Carli Judice
Corner B recent form
Jeisla Chaves
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Carli Judice & Jeisla Chaves on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.