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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Schultz

Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.

Tale of the tape

1-1-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
30 Age 27
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
77" 196 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
1517 Global Elo 1479
1458 Elo rating 1430
Wes Schultz — Notable
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by submission
Jackson Mcvey — Notable
At a glance

Wes Schultz — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 15 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Body
  • Head 40%
  • Body 53%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
60% Distance
  • Distance 60%
  • Clinch 40%
  • Ground 0%

Jackson Mcvey — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 81 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 41%
  • Leg 1%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Clinch
  • Distance 19%
  • Clinch 64%
  • Ground 17%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

1.05
6.51
div avg 4.30
50%
69%
div avg 51%
1.88
3.37
div avg 3.32
31%
24%
div avg 54%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.77
0%
0%
div avg 48%
0%
0%
div avg 71%
5.23
1.20
div avg 0.54
2
6
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Wes Schultz
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Jackson Mcvey
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Jackson Mcvey
100% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Wes Schultz
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1500 (Wes Schultz) vs 1513 (Jackson Mcvey).

Wes Schultz red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1500
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ben Johnston
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
0.9
+0.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 2 fights
1500
1500
Jackson Mcvey blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1513
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Sedriques Dumas
Elo 1475 at fight time
Expected wins
1.3
−0.3 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1546
1475
Corner A recent form
Wes Schultz
Corner B recent form
Jackson Mcvey
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Wes Schultz & Jackson Mcvey on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.