Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Anthony Hernandez

9-4-0 UFC record
KO 2 · Sub 5 Finishes
-2 Streak
33 Age
6'0"183 cm Height
75"191 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1619 Global Elo
1576 Elo Rating

Notable

78% of wins by KO or submission
#3 in middleweight for Takedowns per 15 Minutes
100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

CORNER B

Gregory Rodrigues

11-3-0 UFC record
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes
+4 Streak
34 Age
6'3"191 cm Height
75"191 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1664 Global Elo
1632 Elo Rating

Notable

4-fight UFC win streak
64% of wins by KO/TKO
36% of wins finished in round 1

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Other fights on this card · 9

Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves women's flyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

division-context facts

Hernandez

Finishes 78% of wins (2 KO · 5 SUB).

Hernandez

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Rodrigues

7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

9-4-0	UFC record	11-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 5	Finishes	KO 7 · Sub 0
-2	Streak	+4
33	Age	34
6'0" 183 cm	Height	6'3" 191 cm
75" 191 cm	Reach	75" 191 cm
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
1619	Global Elo	1664
1576	Elo rating	1632

Anthony Hernandez — Notable ▼

At a glance

Gregory Rodrigues — Notable ▼

At a glance

4-fight UFC win streak
Fight of the Night in last fight
Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
64% of wins by KO/TKO

Anthony Hernandez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 649 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

81% Head

Head 81%
Body 12%
Leg 7%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

51% Distance

Distance 51%
Clinch 12%
Ground 37%

Gregory Rodrigues — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 719 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

71% Head

Head 71%
Body 22%
Leg 6%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

83% Distance

Distance 83%
Clinch 11%
Ground 6%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.00

5.09

div avg 4.55

60%

53%

div avg 52%

3.10

4.09

div avg 3.30

49%

51%

div avg 54%

5.09

1.59

div avg 1.53

45%

36%

div avg 44%

68%

81%

div avg 75%

1.39

0.32

div avg 0.46

div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Anthony Hernandez

78% finish rate

KO 2 · Sub 5

can finish?

Gregory Rodrigues

finished 67%

2 of 3 losses

Gregory Rodrigues

64% finish rate

KO 7 · Sub 0

can finish?

Anthony Hernandez

finished 75%

3 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Anthony Hernandez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1653 vs 1598, 3 quality wins to 3.

Anthony Hernandez red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1653

Contender level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 9 UFC wins

Toughest win

Brendan Allen

Elo 1675 at fight time

Expected wins

6.2

+2.8 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights

1476

1649

Notable wins

Brendan Allen 1675 Michel Pereira 1642 Roman Dolidze 1635

Gregory Rodrigues blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1598

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 11 UFC wins

Toughest win

Anthony Hernandez

Elo 1634 at fight time

Expected wins

7.5

+3.5 above schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights

1493

1634

Notable wins

Anthony Hernandez 1634 Brad Tavares 1608 Jack Hermansson 1608

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

W

Roman Kopylov

W

Submission · R2

Decision - Unanimous

Feb 17, 2024

Nov 15, 2025

W · Submission · R2

Feb 17, 2024

Roman Kopylov

W · Decision - Unanimous

Nov 15, 2025
W

Junyong Park

W

Submission · R2

KO/TKO · R2

Aug 31, 2019

Oct 23, 2021

W · Submission · R2

Aug 31, 2019

Junyong Park

W · KO/TKO · R2

Oct 23, 2021

Corner A recent form

Anthony Hernandez

L Gregory Rodrigues Decision - Unanimous

Aug 22, 2026
L Sean Strickland KO/TKO · R3

Feb 21, 2026
W Roman Dolidze Submission · R4

Aug 9, 2025
W Brendan Allen Decision - Unanimous

Feb 22, 2025
W Michel Pereira KO/TKO · R5

Oct 19, 2024
W Roman Kopylov Submission · R2

Feb 17, 2024
W Edmen Shahbazyan KO/TKO · R3

May 20, 2023
W Marc-Andre Barriault Submission · R3

Sep 17, 2022
W Josh Fremd Decision - Unanimous

Apr 9, 2022
W Rodolfo Vieira Submission · R2

Feb 13, 2021
L Kevin Holland KO/TKO · R1

May 16, 2020
W Junyong Park Submission · R2

Aug 31, 2019
L Markus Perez Submission · R2

Feb 2, 2019

Corner B recent form

Gregory Rodrigues

W Anthony Hernandez Decision - Unanimous

Aug 22, 2026
W Brunno Ferreira KO/TKO · R1

Mar 7, 2026
W Roman Kopylov Decision - Unanimous

Nov 15, 2025
W Jack Hermansson KO/TKO · R1

Jun 28, 2025
L Jared Cannonier KO/TKO · R4

Feb 15, 2025
W Christian Leroy Duncan Decision - Unanimous

Jul 27, 2024
W Brad Tavares KO/TKO · R3

Feb 10, 2024
W Denis Tiuliulin KO/TKO · R1

Aug 19, 2023
L Brunno Ferreira KO/TKO · R1

Jan 21, 2023
W Chidi Njokuani KO/TKO · R2

Sep 17, 2022
W Julian Marquez KO/TKO · R1

Jun 18, 2022
L Armen Petrosyan Decision - Split

Feb 26, 2022
W Junyong Park KO/TKO · R2

Oct 23, 2021
W Dusko Todorovic Decision - Unanimous

Jun 5, 2021

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Anthony Hernandez & Gregory Rodrigues on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.