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middleweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
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Corner A
Anthony Hernandez
#12 9-3-0
Elo 1601
VS
Corner B
Gregory Rodrigues
#9 10-3-0
Elo 1603

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Anthony Hernandez 50.0%
Corner B Gregory Rodrigues 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Serghei Spivac vs Vitor Petrino heavyweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves women's flyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Notable

Hernandez

Finishes 78% of wins (2 KO · 5 SUB).

Rodrigues

Finishes 70% of wins (7 KO; 40% of wins end in round 1).

Rodrigues

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

9-3-0 UFC record 10-3-0
KO 2 · Sub 5 Finishes KO 7 · Sub 0
-1 Streak +3
32 Age 34
6'0" 183 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1634 Global Elo 1649
1601 Elo rating 1603
Anthony Hernandez — Notable ▼
At a glance
Gregory Rodrigues — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO/TKO

Anthony Hernandez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 620 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
50% Distance
  • Distance 50%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 39%

Gregory Rodrigues — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 642 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 6%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.52
5.52
div avg 4.30
61%
51%
div avg 51%
3.10
4.72
div avg 3.32
51%
51%
div avg 54%
5.91
1.93
div avg 1.77
48%
36%
div avg 48%
68%
75%
div avg 71%
1.64
0.39
div avg 0.54
8
3
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Anthony Hernandez
78% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 5
can finish?
Gregory Rodrigues
finished 67%
2 of 3 losses
Gregory Rodrigues
70% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 0
can finish?
Anthony Hernandez
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Anthony Hernandez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1637 vs 1583, 3 quality wins to 2.

Anthony Hernandez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1637
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brendan Allen
Elo 1675 at fight time
Expected wins
5.7
+3.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1476
1663
Notable wins
Brendan Allen 1675 Michel Pereira 1642 Roman Dolidze 1635
Gregory Rodrigues blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1583
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brad Tavares
Elo 1608 at fight time
Expected wins
7.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1493
1578
Notable wins
Brad Tavares 1608 Jack Hermansson 1608

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Roman Kopylov
    W
    Submission · R2
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 17, 2024
    Nov 15, 2025
  • W
    Junyong Park
    W
    Submission · R2
    KO/TKO · R2
    Aug 31, 2019
    Oct 23, 2021
Corner A recent form
Anthony Hernandez
Corner B recent form
Gregory Rodrigues
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Anthony Hernandez & Gregory Rodrigues on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.