Other bouts 12
- 1middleweight MainAnthony HernandezvsGregory Rodrigues
- 2heavyweightSerghei SpivacvsVitor Petrino
- 3light heavyweightReinier de RiddervsRoman Dolidze
- 4lightweightMarQuel MederosvsMason Jones
- 5women's flyweightCarli JudicevsJeisla Chaves
- 6heavyweightKennedy NzechukwuvsShamil Gaziev
- 7middleweightWes SchultzvsJackson McVey
- 8lightweightChris PadillavsNasrat Haqparast
- 9Not linkedlightweightGauge YoungvsStan Dorsainvil
- 11women's strawweightShanelle DyervsElise Reed
- 12Not linkedfeatherweightMarcio BarbosavsRyan Kuse
- 13Not linkedheavyweightAnthony WintvsTerrance Chatman
The result may differ from Pure Elo because in Honest Elo mode the opening market line carries information the pure-Elo model can't see — camp news, weight cuts, recent form. Not betting advice.
See methodologyHonest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 9
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 5-4-0 | UFC record | 1-0-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +1 |
| 37 | Age | 31 |
| 5'10" 178 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1516 | Global Elo | 1533 |
| 1470 | Elo rating | 1507 |
Jamall Emmers — Notable ▼
- 40% of wins finished in round 1
Lerryan Douglas — Notable ▼
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Jamall Emmers — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 422 landed total · career
- Head 57%
- Body 31%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 9%
Lerryan Douglas — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 29 landed total · career
- Head 62%
- Body 10%
- Leg 28%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 7%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Hyder Amil7.28
- 2Michael Aswell Jr.6.72
- 3Luke Riley6.67
- 4Fernando Padilla6.07
- 5Julian Erosa6.06
- 1Erik Silva67%
- 2Isaac Dulgarian64%
- 3Gabriel Santos61%
- 4Jack Jenkins60%
- 5Kai Kamaka Iii59%
- 1Yadier Del Valle0.90
- 2Pat Sabatini1.16
- 3Jordan Leavitt1.63
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.65
- 5Erik Silva1.66
- 1Miles Johns67%
- 2Mairon Santos66%
- 3Yadier Del Valle66%
- 4Youssef Zalal65%
- 5Steve Garcia63%
- 1Bogdan Grad5.33
- 2Jonathan Pearce5.02
- 3Movsar Evloev4.78
- 4Gabriel Miranda4.75
- 5Isaac Dulgarian4.57
- 1Yadier Del Valle100%
- 2Gaston Bolanos75%
- 3Erik Silva75%
- 4Jean Silva71%
- 5Joanderson Brito67%
- 1Fernando Padilla100%
- 2Jose Aldo92%
- 3Kevin Vallejos90%
- 4Gabriel Santos88%
- 5Sean Woodson87%
- 1Westin Wilson7.87
- 2Yadier Del Valle2.71
- 3Gabriel Miranda1.90
- 4Isaac Dulgarian1.83
- 5Herbert Burns1.57
- 1Pat Sabatini10.65
- 2Isaac Dulgarian10.58
- 3Jonathan Pearce6.86
- 4Bogdan Grad6.76
- 5Jordan Leavitt5.97
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1513 (Jamall Emmers) vs 1524 (Lerryan Douglas).
- Nov 8, 2025
- Mar 29, 2025
- Mar 30, 2024
- Nov 11, 2023
- Jun 24, 2023
- Mar 28, 2026