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heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
Aug 22, 2026 · Sacramento, California, USA
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Corner A
Serghei Spivac
#18 9-6-0
Elo 1545
VS
Corner B
Vitor Petrino
#16 7-2-0
Elo 1554

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Serghei Spivac 50.0%
Corner B Vitor Petrino 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 9
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues Main event · middleweight Reinier de Ridder vs Roman Dolidze light heavyweight MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones lightweight Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves women's flyweight Kennedy Nzechukwu vs Shamil Gaziev heavyweight Wes Schultz vs Jackson McVey middleweight Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast lightweight Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas featherweight Shanelle Dyer vs Elise Reed women's strawweight

Tale of the tape

9-6-0 UFC record 7-2-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 2
+1 Streak +3
31 Age 28
6'3" 191 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 77" 196 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1586 Global Elo 1595
1545 Elo rating 1554
Serghei Spivac — Notable ▼
At a glance
Vitor Petrino — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight UFC win streak
  • 57% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Serghei Spivac — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 448 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
94% Head
  • Head 94%
  • Body 4%
  • Leg 2%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 35%

Vitor Petrino — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 294 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 14%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.57
3.09
div avg 4.91
48%
49%
div avg 53%
4.23
2.76
div avg 3.51
52%
51%
div avg 51%
3.82
2.84
div avg 1.67
59%
46%
div avg 39%
64%
81%
div avg 74%
0.48
0.79
div avg 0.72
5
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Serghei Spivac
67% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 3
can finish?
Vitor Petrino
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses
Vitor Petrino
57% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 2
can finish?
Serghei Spivac
finished 67%
4 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Serghei Spivac has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1616 vs 1521, 2 quality wins to 0.

Serghei Spivac red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1616
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1630 at fight time
Expected wins
7.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 15 fights
1468
1517
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1630 Marcin Tybura 1612
Vitor Petrino blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1521
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Tyson Pedro
Elo 1536 at fight time
Expected wins
5.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1473
1530
Corner A recent form
Serghei Spivac
Corner B recent form
Vitor Petrino
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Serghei Spivac & Vitor Petrino on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.