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Jake Ellenberger "The Juggernaut"

Inactive · age 41 · Orthodox · 5'9" 175 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 71" 180 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1476
Global Elo 1526 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-11-0
KO 5 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Aug 25, 2018
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 49m
Avg fight time
8:03
Bonuses
10
Fights per year
2.3
Ground control
35m
Since last fight
7y 10mo

Honest Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Sep 16, 2009 — L vs Carlos Condit Δ-31Jan 2, 2010 — W vs Mike Pyle Δ+37Aug 1, 2010 — W vs John Howard Δ+37Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha Δ+28Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Sean Pierson Δ+30Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jake Shields Δ+14Feb 15, 2012 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+18Jun 1, 2012 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-19Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Jay Hieron Δ+9Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+19Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Rory MacDonald Δ-17May 24, 2014 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-21Nov 15, 2014 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-17Feb 28, 2015 — W vs Josh Koscheck Δ+19Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-18Jan 30, 2016 — L vs Tarec Saffiedine Δ-19Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+21Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-19Apr 22, 2017 — L vs Mike Perry Δ-20Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Ben Saunders Δ-18Aug 25, 2018 — L vs Bryan Barberena Δ-17 140014501500155016001650 2011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":370.4,"elo":1431,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":113.8,"y":323.7,"elo":1467,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":160.3,"y":276.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"John Howard","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":201.8,"y":241,"elo":1532,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Carlos Eduardo Rocha","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":220.3,"y":202.9,"elo":1562,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Sean Pierson","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":251.2,"y":184.6,"elo":1576,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jake Shields","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":284.5,"y":161.4,"elo":1594,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":308.1,"y":186.4,"elo":1575,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":335.9,"y":175.2,"elo":1583,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Jay Hieron","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":9,"x":371.6,"y":151.3,"elo":1602,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":400.9,"y":173.1,"elo":1585,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":467.3,"y":200.3,"elo":1564,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":505.9,"y":222.2,"elo":1547,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":529.1,"y":197.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2015-02-28","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":558.6,"y":220.9,"elo":1548,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":603.2,"y":245.8,"elo":1528,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Tarec Saffiedine","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":643.3,"y":219.3,"elo":1549,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":17,"x":671.1,"y":243.1,"elo":1530,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":701.9,"y":268.4,"elo":1511,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":19,"x":791.3,"y":291.6,"elo":1493,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":20,"x":810,"y":313.4,"elo":1476,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 25, 2018 Bryan Barberena L -17
Jun 1, 2018 Ben Saunders L -18
Apr 22, 2017 Mike Perry L -20
Dec 3, 2016 Jorge Masvidal L -19
Jul 30, 2016 Matt Brown W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
6 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
1
10% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
2 29%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 417 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
62% Distance
  • Distance 62%
  • Clinch 20%
  • Ground 18%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
73%
of losses by finish
8 of 11 · usually R1
7 KO/TKO 1 Sub 3 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1570
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Diego Sanchez
Elo 1660 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
10.8
−0.8 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 21 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1479
1557
Notable wins
Diego Sanchez 1660 Nate Marquardt 1626 Matt Brown 1610 John Howard 1607

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Jake Ellenberger on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.