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Jake Ellenberger

Inactive · Orthodox · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1526 ±37
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
10-11-0
KO 5 · Sub 1 · Dec 3
Streak
-4
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Aug 25, 2018
L by KO

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
Sep 16, 2009 — L vs Carlos Condit Δ-31Jan 2, 2010 — W vs Mike Pyle Δ+37Aug 1, 2010 — W vs John Howard Δ+37Feb 5, 2011 — W vs Carlos Eduardo Rocha Δ+28Apr 30, 2011 — W vs Sean Pierson Δ+30Sep 17, 2011 — W vs Jake Shields Δ+14Feb 15, 2012 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+18Jun 1, 2012 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-19Oct 5, 2012 — W vs Jay Hieron Δ+9Mar 16, 2013 — W vs Nate Marquardt Δ+19Jul 27, 2013 — L vs Rory MacDonald Δ-17May 24, 2014 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-21Nov 15, 2014 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-17Feb 28, 2015 — W vs Josh Koscheck Δ+19Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Stephen Thompson Δ-18Jan 30, 2016 — L vs Tarec Saffiedine Δ-19Jul 30, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+21Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Jorge Masvidal Δ-19Apr 22, 2017 — L vs Mike Perry Δ-20Jun 1, 2018 — L vs Ben Saunders Δ-18Aug 25, 2018 — L vs Bryan Barberena Δ-17 14291492155516181681 2011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":202.2,"elo":1469,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":52.2,"y":171.4,"elo":1506,"date":"2010-01-02","opp":"Mike Pyle","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":107.2,"y":140.3,"elo":1543,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"John Howard","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":156.3,"y":116.9,"elo":1571,"date":"2011-02-05","opp":"Carlos Eduardo Rocha","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":178.2,"y":91.8,"elo":1600,"date":"2011-04-30","opp":"Sean Pierson","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":214.8,"y":79.7,"elo":1615,"date":"2011-09-17","opp":"Jake Shields","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":254.2,"y":64.4,"elo":1633,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":282.1,"y":80.9,"elo":1613,"date":"2012-06-01","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":315,"y":73.5,"elo":1622,"date":"2012-10-05","opp":"Jay Hieron","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":9,"x":357.2,"y":57.8,"elo":1641,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":391.9,"y":72.1,"elo":1624,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":470.5,"y":90.1,"elo":1602,"date":"2014-05-24","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":12,"x":516.2,"y":104.5,"elo":1585,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":13,"x":543.6,"y":88.4,"elo":1604,"date":"2015-02-28","opp":"Josh Koscheck","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":578.5,"y":103.7,"elo":1586,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Stephen Thompson","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":631.2,"y":120,"elo":1567,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Tarec Saffiedine","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":678.7,"y":102.6,"elo":1588,"date":"2016-07-30","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":17,"x":711.6,"y":118.3,"elo":1569,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":748.1,"y":135,"elo":1549,"date":"2017-04-22","opp":"Mike Perry","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":19,"x":853.8,"y":150.3,"elo":1531,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":164.6,"elo":1514,"date":"2018-08-25","opp":"Bryan Barberena","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 25, 2018 Bryan Barberena L -17
Jun 1, 2018 Ben Saunders L -18
Apr 22, 2017 Mike Perry L -20
Dec 3, 2016 Jorge Masvidal L -19
Jul 30, 2016 Matt Brown W +21

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.03 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.33 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.68 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
86% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.29 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
6 / 10
Finish rate
KO
5
50% of wins
SUB
1
10% of wins
DEC
3
30% of wins
KO: 5 (56%) 5 Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 3 (33%) 3
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
4 57%
R2
2 29%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1570
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.8
actual -1 vs expected