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lightweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Sep 19, 2026 · Los Angeles, California, USA
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Corner A
Arman Tsarukyan
#4 10-2-0
Elo 1661
VS
Corner B
Mauricio Ruffy
#17 5-1-0
Elo 1573

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Arman Tsarukyan 50.0%
Corner B Mauricio Ruffy 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja Main event · flyweight Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne heavyweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

Tsarukyan

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tsarukyan

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tsarukyan

On a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the tape

10-2-0 UFC record 5-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 0
+5 Streak +2
29 Age 30
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1696 Global Elo 1611
1661 Elo rating 1573
Arman Tsarukyan — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 5-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Mauricio Ruffy — Notable ▼
At a glance

Arman Tsarukyan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 567 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
62% Distance
  • Distance 62%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 31%

Mauricio Ruffy — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 175 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
82% Head
  • Head 82%
  • Body 7%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 13%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.85
4.00
div avg 4.53
50%
57%
div avg 51%
1.80
3.75
div avg 3.76
55%
60%
div avg 53%
3.26
0.00
div avg 1.86
38%
0%
div avg 37%
75%
85%
div avg 72%
0.10
0.00
div avg 0.65
6
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Arman Tsarukyan
50% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Mauricio Ruffy
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Mauricio Ruffy
80% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Arman Tsarukyan
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Arman Tsarukyan has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1650 vs 1549, 5 quality wins to 1.

Arman Tsarukyan red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1650
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
5
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Charles Oliveira
Elo 1742 at fight time
Expected wins
5.7
+4.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1626
1633
Notable wins
Charles Oliveira 1742 Beneil Dariush 1694 Dan Hooker 1633 Damir Ismagulov 1625 Joel Alvarez 1607
Mauricio Ruffy blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1549
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rafael Fiziev
Elo 1606 at fight time
Expected wins
3.1
+1.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1509
1511
Notable wins
Rafael Fiziev 1606
Corner A recent form
Arman Tsarukyan
Corner B recent form
Mauricio Ruffy
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Arman Tsarukyan & Mauricio Ruffy on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.