HonestElo
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heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Sep 19, 2026 · Los Angeles, California, USA
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Corner A
Tai Tuivasa
#32 8-10-0
Elo 1453
VS
Corner B
Robelis Despaigne
#39 1-2-0
Elo 1431

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Tai Tuivasa 50.0%
Corner B Robelis Despaigne 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja Main event · flyweight Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy lightweight Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

Despaigne

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tuivasa

Finishes 88% of wins (7 KO; 63% of wins end in round 1).

Tuivasa

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Form

Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Oct 2024).

Despaigne

Hasn't fought since Oct 2024.

Despaigne

Reach advantage of ~9".

Tale of the tape

8-10-0 UFC record 1-2-0
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
-7 Streak -2
33 Age 37
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'7" 201 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 84" 213 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1496 Global Elo 1479
1453 Elo rating 1431
Tai Tuivasa — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 7-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 88% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 63% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2017
Robelis Despaigne — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1

Tai Tuivasa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 491 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
  • Distance 71%
  • Clinch 24%
  • Ground 5%

Robelis Despaigne — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 64 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 3%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.37
2.11
div avg 4.91
49%
60%
div avg 53%
4.61
2.54
div avg 3.51
43%
47%
div avg 51%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.67
0%
—
div avg 39%
59%
50%
div avg 74%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.72
2
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tai Tuivasa
88% finish rate
KO 7 · Sub 0
can finish?
Robelis Despaigne
finished 0%
never finished
Robelis Despaigne
100% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Tai Tuivasa
finished 60%
6 of 10 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Tai Tuivasa has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1562 vs 1487, 2 quality wins to 0.

Tai Tuivasa red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1675 at fight time
Expected wins
8.7
−0.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1461
1446
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1675 Andrei Arlovski 1612
Robelis Despaigne blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1487
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Josh Parisian
Elo 1450 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
−0.6 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1450
1437
Corner A recent form
Tai Tuivasa
Corner B recent form
Robelis Despaigne
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tai Tuivasa & Robelis Despaigne on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.