Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne — Honest Elo Matchup & Stats Comparison

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

CORNER A

Tai Tuivasa

8-11-0 UFC record
KO 7 · Sub 0 Finishes
-8 Streak
33 Age
6'2"188 cm Height
75"191 cm Reach
Southpaw Stance
1479 Global Elo
1453 Elo Rating

Notable

8-fight losing streak
88% of wins by KO/TKO
63% of wins finished in round 1

CORNER B

Robelis Despaigne

2-2-0 UFC record
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes
+1 Streak
38 Age
6'7"201 cm Height
84"213 cm Reach
Orthodox Stance
1500 Global Elo
1446 Elo Rating

Notable

Top heavyweight for Takedown Accuracy
Has never been finished
50% of wins by KO/TKO

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Other fights on this card · 10

Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja Main event · flyweight TITLE Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

division-context facts

Despaigne

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tuivasa

Finishes 88% of wins (7 KO; 63% of wins end in round 1).

Tuivasa

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Despaigne

Reach advantage of ~9".

Tale of the tape

8-11-0	UFC record	2-2-0
KO 7 · Sub 0	Finishes	KO 1 · Sub 0
-8	Streak	+1
33	Age	38
6'2" 188 cm	Height	6'7" 201 cm
75" 191 cm	Reach	84" 213 cm
Southpaw	Stance	Orthodox
1479	Global Elo	1500
1453	Elo rating	1446

Tai Tuivasa — Notable ▼

At a glance

8-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
88% of wins by KO/TKO
63% of wins finished in round 1
UFC veteran since 2017

Robelis Despaigne — Notable ▼

At a glance

Tai Tuivasa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 522 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

59% Head

Head 59%
Body 18%
Leg 23%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

69% Distance

Distance 69%
Clinch 25%
Ground 7%

Robelis Despaigne — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 94 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg

74% Head

Head 74%
Body 5%
Leg 20%

Positions distance · clinch · ground

74% Distance

Distance 74%
Clinch 17%
Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.25

2.08

div avg 4.48

48%

53%

div avg 53%

4.36

2.38

div avg 3.40

44%

49%

div avg 51%

0.09

0.66

div avg 1.90

11%

100%

div avg 42%

56%

61%

div avg 72%

0.00

div avg 0.83

div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tai Tuivasa

88% finish rate

KO 7 · Sub 0

can finish?

Robelis Despaigne

finished 0%

never finished

Robelis Despaigne

50% finish rate

KO 1 · Sub 0

can finish?

Tai Tuivasa

finished 55%

6 of 11 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Tai Tuivasa has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1525 vs 1489, 2 quality wins to 0.

Tai Tuivasa red corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1525

UFC level

Quality wins (1600+)

of 8 UFC wins

Toughest win

Derrick Lewis

Elo 1675 at fight time

Expected wins

9.3

−1.3 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 19 fights

1461

1469

Notable wins

Derrick Lewis 1675 Andrei Arlovski 1612

Robelis Despaigne blue corner

Avg opp Elo (last 5)

1489

Developing slate

Quality wins (1600+)

of 2 UFC wins

Toughest win

Tai Tuivasa

Elo 1496 at fight time

Expected wins

2.1

−0.1 below schedule

Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights

1450

1496

Corner A recent form

Tai Tuivasa

L Robelis Despaigne Decision - Split

Sep 19, 2026
L Louie Sutherland Decision - Unanimous

May 2, 2026
L Tallison Teixeira Decision - Unanimous

Jan 31, 2026
L Jairzinho Rozenstruik Decision - Split

Aug 17, 2024
L Marcin Tybura Submission · R1

Mar 16, 2024
L Alexander Volkov Submission · R2

Sep 9, 2023
L Sergei Pavlovich KO/TKO · R1

Dec 3, 2022
L Ciryl Gane KO/TKO · R3

Sep 3, 2022
W Derrick Lewis KO/TKO · R2

Feb 12, 2022
W Augusto Sakai KO/TKO · R2

Dec 11, 2021
W Greg Hardy KO/TKO · R1

Jul 10, 2021
W Harry Hunsucker KO/TKO · R1

Mar 20, 2021
W Stefan Struve KO/TKO · R1

Oct 24, 2020
L Serghei Spivac Submission · R2

Oct 5, 2019
L Blagoy Ivanov Decision - Unanimous

Jun 8, 2019
L Junior Dos Santos KO/TKO · R2

Dec 1, 2018
W Andrei Arlovski Decision - Unanimous

Jun 9, 2018
W Cyril Asker KO/TKO · R1

Feb 10, 2018
W Rashad Coulter KO/TKO · R1

Nov 18, 2017

Corner B recent form

Robelis Despaigne

W Tai Tuivasa Decision - Split

Sep 19, 2026
L Austen Lane Decision - Unanimous

Oct 19, 2024
L Waldo Cortes Acosta Decision - Unanimous

May 11, 2024
W Josh Parisian KO/TKO · R1

Mar 9, 2024

Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tai Tuivasa & Robelis Despaigne on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.