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flyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Sep 19, 2026 · Los Angeles, California, USA
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Corner A
Joshua Van C
#2 10-1-0
Elo 1633
VS
Corner B
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 14-4-0
Elo 1646

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Joshua Van 50.0%
Corner B Alexandre Pantoja 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy lightweight Renato Moicano vs Brian Ortega lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne heavyweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

Pantoja

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Pantoja

Title-fight record 5–1.

Van

On a 7-fight win streak.

Tale of the tape

10-1-0 UFC record 14-4-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 6
+7 Streak -1
24 Age 36
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1673 Global Elo 1682
1633 Elo rating 1646
Joshua Van — Notable ▼
At a glance
Alexandre Pantoja — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • 57% of wins by KO or submission
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • Career-best 8-fight win streak

Joshua Van — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1230 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 5%

Alexandre Pantoja — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 941 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
81% Distance
  • Distance 81%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 9%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

8.43
4.38
div avg 3.86
57%
50%
div avg 46%
5.82
3.88
div avg 3.26
58%
50%
div avg 57%
0.82
2.79
div avg 1.56
62%
48%
div avg 38%
76%
69%
div avg 63%
0.21
0.98
div avg 0.81
1
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Joshua Van
40% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alexandre Pantoja
finished 25%
1 of 4 losses
Alexandre Pantoja
57% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 6
can finish?
Joshua Van
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Joshua Van has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1600 vs 1574, 2 quality wins to 1.

Joshua Van red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1600
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alexandre Pantoja
Elo 1711 at fight time
Expected wins
6.0
+4.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 11 fights
1411
1664
Notable wins
Alexandre Pantoja 1711 Tatsuro Taira 1664
Alexandre Pantoja blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1574
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1650 at fight time
Expected wins
10.3
+3.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 18 fights
1500
1620
Notable wins
Brandon Moreno 1650

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Brandon Royval
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Submission · R2
    Jun 28, 2025
    Aug 21, 2021
  • W
    Brandon Royval
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jun 28, 2025
    Dec 16, 2023
Corner A recent form
Joshua Van
Corner B recent form
Alexandre Pantoja
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Joshua Van & Alexandre Pantoja on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.