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✓ Joshua Van won · by Decision · R5

Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja — Honest Elo matchup

flyweight· title bout
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Sep 19, 2026 · Los Angeles, California, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Joshua Van C
#1 11-1-0
Elo 1667
VS
Corner B
Alexandre Pantoja
#2 14-5-0
Elo 1615
Final result · recorded Sep 20, 2026
Joshua Van
defeated Alexandre Pantoja by Decision in round 5

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Joshua Van 39.2% · Alexandre Pantoja 60.8%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Joshua Van 48.6% · Alexandre Pantoja 51.4%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz middleweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne heavyweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

Pantoja

7 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Van

Title-fight record 3–0.

Pantoja

Title-fight record 5–2.

Van

On a 8-fight win streak.

Tale of the tape

11-1-0 UFC record 14-5-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 2 · Sub 6
+8 Streak -2
25 Age 36
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1693 Global Elo 1662
1667 Elo rating 1615
Joshua Van — Notable ▼
At a glance
Alexandre Pantoja — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4 successful title defenses
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 57% of wins by KO or submission

Joshua Van — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1411 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
74% Head
  • Head 74%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 5%

Alexandre Pantoja — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1088 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

8.26
4.54
div avg 3.96
58%
51%
div avg 47%
5.83
4.23
div avg 3.36
57%
48%
div avg 56%
0.70
2.82
div avg 1.57
62%
44%
div avg 38%
75%
69%
div avg 64%
0.26
0.88
div avg 0.78
1
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Joshua Van
36% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alexandre Pantoja
finished 20%
1 of 5 losses
Alexandre Pantoja
57% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 6
can finish?
Joshua Van
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Joshua Van has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1630 vs 1593, 3 quality wins to 1.

Joshua Van red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1630
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Alexandre Pantoja
Elo 1711 at fight time
Expected wins
6.5
+4.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1411
1682
Notable wins
Alexandre Pantoja ×2 1711 Tatsuro Taira 1664
Alexandre Pantoja blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1593
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1650 at fight time
Expected wins
10.8
+3.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 19 fights
1500
1673
Notable wins
Brandon Moreno 1650

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Brandon Royval
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Submission · R2
    Jun 28, 2025
    Aug 21, 2021
  • W
    Brandon Royval
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Jun 28, 2025
    Dec 16, 2023
Corner A recent form
Joshua Van
Corner B recent form
Alexandre Pantoja
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Joshua Van & Alexandre Pantoja on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.