Other bouts 12
- 1flyweight MainJoshua VanvsAlexandre Pantoja
- 2lightweightArman TsarukyanvsMauricio Ruffy
- 3lightweightRenato MoicanovsBrian Ortega
- 4featherweightPatricio PitbullvsDooho Choi
- 5light heavyweightAlonzo MenifieldvsIwo Baraniewski
- 6bantamweightMarlon VeravsCharles Jourdain
- 8women's flyweightCasey O'NeillvsEduarda Moura
- 11middleweightEdmen ShahbazyanvsBrunno Ferreira
- 12heavyweightTai TuivasavsRobelis Despaigne
- 13Not linkedheavyweightGable StevesonvsSean Sharaf
- 14featherweightGiga ChikadzevsJoanderson Brito
- 15featherweightMichael Aswell Jr.vsJooSang Yoo
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~5".
Tale of the tape
| 2-0-0 | UFC record | 1-2-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | -1 |
| 31 | Age | 35 |
| 6'1" 185 cm | Height | 6'4" 193 cm |
| 74" 188 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1553 | Global Elo | 1478 |
| 1527 | Elo rating | 1431 |
Ryan Gandra — Notable ▼
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 100% of wins finished in round 1
Ozzy Diaz — Notable ▼
- Top 5 · middleweightStriking Defense
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- Top 5 · middleweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
Ryan Gandra — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 24 landed total · career
- Head 92%
- Body 8%
- Leg 0%
- Distance 75%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 25%
Ozzy Diaz — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 150 landed total · career
- Head 85%
- Body 10%
- Leg 5%
- Distance 97%
- Clinch 3%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Ozzy Diaz has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1546 vs 1464, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Jul 11, 2026
- Feb 28, 2026
- May 9, 2026
- Mar 8, 2025
- Nov 23, 2024