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✓ Ryan Gandra won · by TKO · R1

Ryan Gandra vs Ozzy Diaz — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Sep 19, 2026 · Los Angeles, California, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Ryan Gandra
#25 3-0-0
Elo 1557
VS
Corner B
Ozzy Diaz
#64 1-3-0
Elo 1412
Final result · recorded Sep 19, 2026
Ryan Gandra
defeated Ozzy Diaz by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 66.5% · Ozzy Diaz 33.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Ryan Gandra 60.6% · Ozzy Diaz 39.4%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja Main event · flyweight TITLE Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy lightweight Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi featherweight Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski light heavyweight Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain bantamweight Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura women's flyweight Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brunno Ferreira middleweight Tai Tuivasa vs Robelis Despaigne heavyweight Giga Chikadze vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Michael Aswell Jr. vs JooSang Yoo featherweight

Notable

Diaz

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 1-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+3 Streak -2
31 Age 35
6'1" 185 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
74" 188 cm Reach 79" 201 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1583 Global Elo 1452
1557 Elo rating 1412
Ryan Gandra — Notable ▼
At a glance
Ozzy Diaz — Notable ▼
At a glance

Ryan Gandra — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 40 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
88% Head
  • Head 88%
  • Body 8%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
70% Distance
  • Distance 70%
  • Clinch 0%
  • Ground 30%

Ozzy Diaz — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 153 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
84% Head
  • Head 84%
  • Body 10%
  • Leg 5%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
97% Distance
  • Distance 97%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 0%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

10.00
5.96
div avg 4.55
48%
52%
div avg 52%
2.00
7.29
div avg 3.30
53%
62%
div avg 54%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.53
—
0%
div avg 44%
—
67%
div avg 75%
0.00
0.00
div avg 0.46
1
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ryan Gandra
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ozzy Diaz
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses
Ozzy Diaz
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ryan Gandra
finished —
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Ozzy Diaz has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1549 vs 1469, 0 quality wins to 0.

Ryan Gandra red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1469
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Zach Reese
Elo 1521 at fight time
Expected wins
1.8
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1407
1478
Ozzy Diaz blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1549
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 1 UFC wins
Toughest win
Djorden Santos
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins
1.6
−0.7 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1533
1557
Corner A recent form
Ryan Gandra
Corner B recent form
Ozzy Diaz
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ryan Gandra & Ozzy Diaz on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.