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featherweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Glendale
Sep 12, 2026 · Glendale, Arizona, USA
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Corner A
Yair Rodriguez
#8 11-4-0
Elo 1612
VS
Corner B
Jean Silva
#6 6-1-0
Elo 1619

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Yair Rodriguez 50.0%
Corner B Jean Silva 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales flyweight Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso women's flyweight Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes heavyweight David Martinez vs Dan Ige bantamweight Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez flyweight Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov welterweight Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui middleweight JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin women's flyweight Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki featherweight Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt lightweight Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu lightweight

Notable

Silva

Finishes 83% of wins (4 KO · 1 SUB).

Rodriguez

9 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Rodriguez

Title-fight record 2–1.

Tale of the tape

11-4-0 UFC record 6-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 4 · Sub 1
+1 Streak +1
33 Age 29
5'11" 180 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
71" 180 cm Reach 69" 175 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1659 Global Elo 1655
1612 Elo rating 1619
Yair Rodriguez — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 1 successful title defense
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Jean Silva — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 83% of wins by KO or submission
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1

Yair Rodriguez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 984 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 25%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 15%

Jean Silva — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 274 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 27%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 4%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.65
4.57
div avg 4.36
47%
53%
div avg 49%
3.78
4.44
div avg 3.45
53%
53%
div avg 57%
0.71
1.25
div avg 1.47
29%
71%
div avg 41%
59%
78%
div avg 65%
0.64
0.75
div avg 0.45
1
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Yair Rodriguez
45% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Jean Silva
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Jean Silva
83% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 1
can finish?
Yair Rodriguez
finished 75%
3 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Yair Rodriguez has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1648 vs 1616, 4 quality wins to 2.

Yair Rodriguez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1648
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Brian Ortega
Elo 1672 at fight time
Expected wins
8.1
+2.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1500
1500
Notable wins
Brian Ortega 1672 Josh Emmett 1660 Chan Sung Jung 1609 BJ Penn 1602
Jean Silva blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1616
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Arnold Allen
Elo 1682 at fight time
Expected wins
3.5
+2.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1471
1682
Notable wins
Arnold Allen 1682 Bryce Mitchell 1634
Corner A recent form
Yair Rodriguez
Corner B recent form
Jean Silva
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Yair Rodriguez & Jean Silva on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.