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✓ Tim Elliott won · by Decision · R3

Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez — Honest Elo matchup

catch weight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Glendale
Sep 12, 2026 · Glendale, Arizona, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Tim Elliott
#24 11-12-0
Elo 1482
VS
Corner B
Edgar Chairez
#20 4-3-0
Elo 1490
Final result · recorded Sep 12, 2026
Tim Elliott
defeated Edgar Chairez by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Tim Elliott 22.8% · Edgar Chairez 77.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Tim Elliott 43.8% · Edgar Chairez 56.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado Main event · featherweight Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales flyweight Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki featherweight Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso women's flyweight Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes heavyweight David Martinez vs Dan Ige bantamweight Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov welterweight Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos middleweight Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt lightweight Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu lightweight JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin women's flyweight

Notable

Chairez

Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.

Elliott

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Chairez

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

11-12-0 UFC record 4-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 3
+1 Streak -1
39 Age 30
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
66" 168 cm Reach 71" 180 cm
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
1527 Global Elo 1535
1482 Elo rating 1490
Tim Elliott — Notable ▼
At a glance
Edgar Chairez — Notable ▼
At a glance

Tim Elliott — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1012 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
59% Head
  • Head 59%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
66% Distance
  • Distance 66%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 18%

Edgar Chairez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 281 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
62% Head
  • Head 62%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
96% Distance
  • Distance 96%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 2%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.55
3.86
div avg 3.96
42%
47%
div avg 47%
3.05
4.51
div avg 3.36
56%
52%
div avg 56%
3.69
0.00
div avg 1.57
45%
0%
div avg 38%
59%
50%
div avg 64%
1.00
1.65
div avg 0.78
5
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tim Elliott
27% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Edgar Chairez
finished 0%
never finished
Edgar Chairez
75% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Tim Elliott
finished 42%
5 of 12 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Tim Elliott has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1539 vs 1501, 0 quality wins to 0.

Tim Elliott red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1539
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Louis Smolka
Elo 1572 at fight time
Expected wins
9.7
+1.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 23 fights
1541
1553
Edgar Chairez blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1501
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Bruno Silva
Elo 1490 at fight time
Expected wins
3.6
+0.4 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1587
1509
Corner A recent form
Tim Elliott
Corner B recent form
Edgar Chairez
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tim Elliott & Edgar Chairez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.