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heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Glendale
Sep 12, 2026 · Glendale, Arizona, USA
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Corner A
Waldo Cortes Acosta
#8 10-3-0
Elo 1601
VS
Corner B
Curtis Blaydes
#7 14-6-0
Elo 1610

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Waldo Cortes Acosta 50.0%
Corner B Curtis Blaydes 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Yair Rodriguez vs Jean Silva Main event · featherweight Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales flyweight Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso women's flyweight David Martinez vs Dan Ige bantamweight Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez flyweight Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov welterweight Kelvin Gastelum vs Yousri Belgaroui middleweight JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin women's flyweight Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki featherweight Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt lightweight Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu lightweight

Notable

Acosta

Has never been finished — all 3 losses went to the scorecards.

Blaydes

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Form

Both enter off a loss (May 2026 / Apr 2026).

Tale of the tape

10-3-0 UFC record 14-6-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 8 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -1
34 Age 35
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 80" 203 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1640 Global Elo 1657
1601 Elo rating 1610
Waldo Cortes Acosta — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 30% of wins finished in round 1
Curtis Blaydes — Notable ▼
At a glance

Waldo Cortes Acosta — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 759 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 9%

Curtis Blaydes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 809 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 11%
  • Leg 17%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
52% Distance
  • Distance 52%
  • Clinch 18%
  • Ground 30%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.18
4.18
div avg 4.91
49%
52%
div avg 53%
3.61
2.76
div avg 3.51
55%
54%
div avg 51%
0.41
5.12
div avg 1.67
50%
48%
div avg 39%
74%
35%
div avg 74%
0.10
0.00
div avg 0.72
1
7
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Waldo Cortes Acosta
50% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Curtis Blaydes
finished 83%
5 of 6 losses
Curtis Blaydes
57% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Waldo Cortes Acosta
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1615 (Waldo Cortes Acosta) vs 1611 (Curtis Blaydes).

Waldo Cortes Acosta red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1615
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1641 at fight time
Expected wins
7.0
+3.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1410
1682
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1641
Curtis Blaydes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1611
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
7
of 14 UFC wins
Toughest win
Junior Dos Santos
Elo 1681 at fight time
Expected wins
10.5
+3.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights
1533
1566
Notable wins
Junior Dos Santos 1681 Jailton Almeida 1668 Tom Aspinall 1660 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1625 Alexander Volkov 1618

Common opponents

3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Alexander Volkov
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    May 9, 2026
    Jun 20, 2020
  • W
    Derrick Lewis
    L
    KO/TKO · R2
    KO/TKO · R2
    Jan 24, 2026
    Feb 20, 2021
  • L
    Sergei Pavlovich
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R1
    Aug 23, 2025
    Apr 22, 2023
Corner A recent form
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Corner B recent form
Curtis Blaydes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Waldo Cortes Acosta & Curtis Blaydes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.