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✓ Curtis Blaydes won · by Decision · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes — Honest Elo matchup

heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Glendale
Sep 12, 2026 · Glendale, Arizona, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Waldo Cortes Acosta
#10 10-4-0
Elo 1581
VS
Corner B
Curtis Blaydes
#5 15-6-0
Elo 1623
Final result · recorded Sep 12, 2026
Curtis Blaydes
defeated Waldo Cortes Acosta by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Waldo Cortes Acosta 58.9% · Curtis Blaydes 41.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Waldo Cortes Acosta 47.4% · Curtis Blaydes 52.6%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 11
Jean Silva vs Jose Delgado Main event · featherweight Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales flyweight Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki featherweight Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso women's flyweight David Martinez vs Dan Ige bantamweight Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez catch weight Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov welterweight Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos middleweight Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt lightweight Rafa Garcia vs Rongzhu lightweight JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin women's flyweight

Notable

Acosta

Has never been finished — all 4 losses went to the scorecards.

Blaydes

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

10-4-0 UFC record 15-6-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 8 · Sub 0
-2 Streak +1
35 Age 35
6'4" 193 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
78" 198 cm Reach 80" 203 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1624 Global Elo 1673
1581 Elo rating 1623
Waldo Cortes Acosta — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 50% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 30% of wins finished in round 1
Curtis Blaydes — Notable ▼
At a glance

Waldo Cortes Acosta — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 787 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 3%
  • Ground 8%

Curtis Blaydes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 833 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
71% Head
  • Head 71%
  • Body 11%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
53% Distance
  • Distance 53%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 29%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.88
3.99
div avg 4.48
48%
51%
div avg 53%
3.43
2.70
div avg 3.40
55%
55%
div avg 51%
0.37
5.04
div avg 1.90
50%
47%
div avg 42%
70%
35%
div avg 72%
0.09
0.00
div avg 0.83
1
7
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Waldo Cortes Acosta
50% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Curtis Blaydes
finished 83%
5 of 6 losses
Curtis Blaydes
53% finish rate
KO 8 · Sub 0
can finish?
Waldo Cortes Acosta
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1619 (Waldo Cortes Acosta) vs 1611 (Curtis Blaydes).

Waldo Cortes Acosta red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1619
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
1
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Derrick Lewis
Elo 1641 at fight time
Expected wins
7.5
+2.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights
1410
1657
Notable wins
Derrick Lewis 1641
Curtis Blaydes blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1611
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
8
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win
Junior Dos Santos
Elo 1681 at fight time
Expected wins
11.1
+4.0 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 22 fights
1533
1640
Notable wins
Junior Dos Santos 1681 Jailton Almeida 1668 Tom Aspinall 1660 Waldo Cortes Acosta 1640 Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1625

Common opponents

3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Alexander Volkov
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    May 9, 2026
    Jun 20, 2020
  • W
    Derrick Lewis
    L
    KO/TKO · R2
    KO/TKO · R2
    Jan 24, 2026
    Feb 20, 2021
  • L
    Sergei Pavlovich
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R1
    Aug 23, 2025
    Apr 22, 2023
Corner A recent form
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Corner B recent form
Curtis Blaydes
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Waldo Cortes Acosta & Curtis Blaydes on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.