HonestElo
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Gaston Bolanos

Active #79 bantamweight
Elo rating
1481 ±39
LCB 1431
Rank
#79
top 83% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -40
Last fight
May 3, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Apr 15, 2023 — W vs Aaron Phillips Δ+22Jan 13, 2024 — L vs Marcus Mcghee Δ-30Nov 9, 2024 — W vs Cortavious Romious Δ+30May 3, 2025 — L vs Quang Le Δ-40 14411471150115321562 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":94,"elo":1522,"date":"2023-04-15","opp":"Aaron Phillips","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":1,"x":334.5,"y":147.2,"elo":1492,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Marcus Mcghee","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":676.9,"y":95.6,"elo":1521,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Cortavious Romious","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":166,"elo":1481,"date":"2025-05-03","opp":"Quang Le","result":"L","delta":-40}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 3, 2025 Quang Le L -40
Nov 9, 2024 Cortavious Romious W +30
Jan 13, 2024 Marcus Mcghee L -30
Apr 15, 2023 Aaron Phillips W +22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.98 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.18 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
100% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
43% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1478
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.2
actual 0 vs expected