HonestElo
← featherweight

Movsar Evloev

Active #2 featherweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1719 ±20
LCB 1693
Rank
#2
top 1% of division
UFC record
10-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 10
Streak
+10
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Apr 20, 2019 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+29Oct 26, 2019 — W vs Enrique Barzola Δ+34Jul 25, 2020 — W vs Mike Grundy Δ+27Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+30Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Hakeem Dawodu Δ+27Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Dan Ige Δ+14May 6, 2023 — W vs Diego Lopes Δ+9Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Arnold Allen Δ+17Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Aljamain Sterling Δ+18Mar 21, 2026 — W vs Lerone Murphy Δ+16 14891556162416911759 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":87.7,"y":178.1,"elo":1562,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Enrique Barzola","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":179.8,"y":157.1,"elo":1589,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Mike Grundy","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":241.1,"y":133.8,"elo":1619,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":288.3,"y":112.4,"elo":1646,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Hakeem Dawodu","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":408.7,"y":101.7,"elo":1660,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":522,"y":94.5,"elo":1669,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Diego Lopes","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":7,"x":609.3,"y":81.4,"elo":1686,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":717.9,"y":67.6,"elo":1703,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":55.4,"elo":1719,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Lerone Murphy","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Lerone Murphy W +16
Dec 7, 2024 Aljamain Sterling W +18
Jan 20, 2024 Arnold Allen W +17
May 6, 2023 Diego Lopes W +9
Jun 4, 2022 Dan Ige W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.91 avg 3.75
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.80 avg 2.98
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
61% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.78 avg 1.27
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
53% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.19 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 2
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 10
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
10
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 10 (100%) 10

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1638
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.2
actual +5 vs expected