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Movsar Evloev

Active #2 featherweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1693
Global Elo 1719 ±20
Rank
#2
top 1% of division
UFC record
10-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 10
Streak
+10
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +16
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
Win by Decision · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 40m
Avg fight time
16:00
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.4
Ground control
57m
Since last fight
3mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Apr 20, 2019 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+29Oct 26, 2019 — W vs Enrique Barzola Δ+34Jul 25, 2020 — W vs Mike Grundy Δ+27Jan 23, 2021 — W vs Nik Lentz Δ+30Jun 12, 2021 — W vs Hakeem Dawodu Δ+27Jun 4, 2022 — W vs Dan Ige Δ+14May 6, 2023 — W vs Diego Lopes Δ+9Jan 20, 2024 — W vs Arnold Allen Δ+17Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Aljamain Sterling Δ+18Mar 21, 2026 — W vs Lerone Murphy Δ+16 1450150015501600165017001750 202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":353.7,"elo":1503,"date":"2019-04-20","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":143.9,"y":317.8,"elo":1536,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Enrique Barzola","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":221.6,"y":289.3,"elo":1563,"date":"2020-07-25","opp":"Mike Grundy","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":273.5,"y":257.7,"elo":1593,"date":"2021-01-23","opp":"Nik Lentz","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":313.4,"y":228.7,"elo":1620,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Hakeem Dawodu","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":415.1,"y":214.1,"elo":1634,"date":"2022-06-04","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":510.8,"y":204.3,"elo":1643,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Diego Lopes","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":7,"x":584.6,"y":186.5,"elo":1660,"date":"2024-01-20","opp":"Arnold Allen","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":676.4,"y":167.9,"elo":1677,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":151.3,"elo":1693,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Lerone Murphy","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Lerone Murphy W +16
Dec 7, 2024 Aljamain Sterling W +18
Jan 20, 2024 Arnold Allen W +17
May 6, 2023 Diego Lopes W +9
Jun 4, 2022 Dan Ige W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 10
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
10
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 10 (100%) 10

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 625 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 17%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Unbeaten in the UFC
10-0 — no losses on record

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1638
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Aljamain Sterling
Elo 1718 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.2
+4.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1692
Notable wins
Aljamain Sterling 1718 Lerone Murphy 1692 Arnold Allen 1683

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Jean Silva
#6 · Elo 1619
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Movsar Evloev on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.