HonestElo
← featherweight

Isaac Dulgarian

Active #69 featherweight
Elo rating
1503 ±39
LCB 1453
Rank
#69
top 71% of division
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -34
Last fight
Nov 1, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Francis Marshall Δ+33Mar 16, 2024 — L vs Christian Rodriguez Δ-25Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Brendon Marotte Δ+29Nov 1, 2025 — L vs Yadier Del Valle Δ-34 14631491152015481577 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":105.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Francis Marshall","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":251.7,"y":153.1,"elo":1508,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Christian Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":2,"x":435.3,"y":98.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Brendon Marotte","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":161.7,"elo":1503,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Yadier Del Valle","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 1, 2025 Yadier Del Valle L -34
Sep 7, 2024 Brendon Marotte W +29
Mar 16, 2024 Christian Rodriguez L -25
Aug 12, 2023 Francis Marshall W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.80 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
64% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.54 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
41% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.29 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.71 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
10 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
1
50% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (50%) 1 Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1517
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual 0 vs expected