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Alex Caceres

Active #34 featherweight · Southpaw · 178 cm · reach 185 cm
Elo rating
1550 ±32
LCB 1508
Rank
#34
top 34% of division
UFC record
16-13-0
KO 1 · Sub 4 · Dec 10
Streak
-2
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
May 11, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

29 fights · tap & drag
Mar 26, 2011 — L vs Mackens Semerzier Δ-33Aug 14, 2011 — L vs Jimy Hettes Δ-30Nov 12, 2011 — W vs Cole Escovedo Δ+29Feb 4, 2012 — L vs Edwin Figueroa Δ-26Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Damacio Page Δ+33Nov 10, 2012 — W vs Motonobu Tezuka Δ+17Sep 21, 2013 — W vs Roland Delorme Δ+20Jan 25, 2014 — W vs Sergio Pettis Δ+19Jul 5, 2014 — L vs Urijah Faber Δ-16Sep 20, 2014 — L vs Masanori Kanehara Δ-17Jun 6, 2015 — L vs Francisco Rivera Δ-17Jan 30, 2016 — W vs Masio Fullen Δ+17Jun 4, 2016 — W vs Cole Miller Δ+19Aug 6, 2016 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-11Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Jason Knight Δ-17Jun 17, 2017 — W vs Rolando Dy Δ+17Nov 25, 2017 — L vs Wang Guan Δ-16Jul 6, 2018 — W vs Martin Bravo Δ+17Feb 17, 2019 — L vs Kron Gracie Δ-19Jul 20, 2019 — W vs Steven Peterson Δ+15Jun 6, 2020 — W vs Chase Hooper Δ+17Aug 29, 2020 — W vs Austin Springer Δ+17Feb 27, 2021 — W vs Kevin Croom Δ+14Oct 23, 2021 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+18Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Sodiq Yusuff Δ-15Dec 17, 2022 — W vs Julian Erosa Δ+16Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Daniel Pineda Δ+14Aug 26, 2023 — L vs Giga Chikadze Δ-13May 11, 2024 — L vs Sean Woodson Δ-16 13971453151015661622 2014201720202023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":170.1,"elo":1467,"date":"2011-03-26","opp":"Mackens Semerzier","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":49.1,"y":198.4,"elo":1437,"date":"2011-08-14","opp":"Jimy Hettes","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":2,"x":65,"y":171,"elo":1466,"date":"2011-11-12","opp":"Cole Escovedo","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":80,"y":195.3,"elo":1440,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Edwin Figueroa","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":108,"y":164.7,"elo":1473,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Damacio Page","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":129.7,"y":148.4,"elo":1490,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Motonobu Tezuka","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":6,"x":185.7,"y":129.2,"elo":1510,"date":"2013-09-21","opp":"Roland Delorme","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":7,"x":208.1,"y":111.2,"elo":1530,"date":"2014-01-25","opp":"Sergio Pettis","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":8,"x":236.7,"y":126.4,"elo":1513,"date":"2014-07-05","opp":"Urijah Faber","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":250.4,"y":142,"elo":1497,"date":"2014-09-20","opp":"Masanori Kanehara","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":10,"x":296.4,"y":158.4,"elo":1479,"date":"2015-06-06","opp":"Francisco Rivera","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":338.7,"y":142.6,"elo":1496,"date":"2016-01-30","opp":"Masio Fullen","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":12,"x":361.1,"y":124.9,"elo":1515,"date":"2016-06-04","opp":"Cole Miller","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":13,"x":372.3,"y":135.6,"elo":1504,"date":"2016-08-06","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":14,"x":403.4,"y":151.3,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Jason Knight","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":428.2,"y":135.7,"elo":1504,"date":"2017-06-17","opp":"Rolando Dy","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":16,"x":456.8,"y":150.9,"elo":1487,"date":"2017-11-25","opp":"Wang Guan","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":17,"x":496.5,"y":135.1,"elo":1504,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Martin Bravo","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":536.6,"y":152.6,"elo":1486,"date":"2019-02-17","opp":"Kron Gracie","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":19,"x":563.8,"y":138.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2019-07-20","opp":"Steven Peterson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":621,"y":122,"elo":1518,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Chase Hooper","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":21,"x":635.9,"y":105.6,"elo":1536,"date":"2020-08-29","opp":"Austin Springer","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":22,"x":668.3,"y":92,"elo":1550,"date":"2021-02-27","opp":"Kevin Croom","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":23,"x":710.6,"y":75.5,"elo":1568,"date":"2021-10-23","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":24,"x":735.5,"y":89.4,"elo":1553,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Sodiq Yusuff","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":25,"x":785.2,"y":74.6,"elo":1568,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"Julian Erosa","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":26,"x":815.1,"y":61.6,"elo":1582,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Daniel Pineda","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":27,"x":830,"y":74.1,"elo":1569,"date":"2023-08-26","opp":"Giga Chikadze","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":28,"x":876,"y":89,"elo":1553,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Sean Woodson","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 11, 2024 Sean Woodson L -16
Aug 26, 2023 Giga Chikadze L -13
Jun 3, 2023 Daniel Pineda W +14
Dec 17, 2022 Julian Erosa W +16
Mar 12, 2022 Sodiq Yusuff L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.02 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.97 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
63% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.53 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
68% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
66% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.65 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
31%
5 / 16
Finish rate
KO
1
6% of wins
SUB
4
25% of wins
DEC
10
63% of wins
KO: 1 (7%) Sub: 4 (27%) 4 Dec: 10 (67%) 10
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
2 33%
R2
3 50%
R3
1 17%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1566
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.9
actual +2 vs expected