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Diego Lopes

Active #8 featherweight · age 31 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 145 lb 66 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 71% of wins by KO or submission
  • 43% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1613
Global Elo 1655 ±32
Rank
#8
top 9% of division
UFC record
7-3-0
KO 4 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
+1
Δ90d +18 · Δ1y +22
Last fight
Jun 14, 2026
Win by KO · R2
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 57m
Avg fight time
11:43
Title fights
0-2
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
3.2
Since last fight
6d

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
May 6, 2023 — L vs Movsar Evloev Δ-16Aug 5, 2023 — W vs Gavin Tucker Δ+42Nov 11, 2023 — W vs Pat Sabatini Δ+39Apr 13, 2024 — W vs Sodiq Yusuff Δ+37Jun 29, 2024 — W vs Dan Ige Δ+30Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Brian Ortega Δ+18Apr 12, 2025 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-16Sep 13, 2025 — W vs Jean Silva Δ+20Jan 31, 2026 — L vs Alexander Volkanovski Δ-15Jun 14, 2026 — W vs Steve Garcia Δ+18 140014501500155016001650 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":357,"elo":1441,"date":"2023-05-06","opp":"Movsar Evloev","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":1,"x":147.7,"y":303.9,"elo":1483,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Gavin Tucker","result":"W","delta":42},{"i":2,"x":209.9,"y":254.4,"elo":1522,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Pat Sabatini","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":307.6,"y":206.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2024-04-13","opp":"Sodiq Yusuff","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":356.4,"y":168.6,"elo":1589,"date":"2024-06-29","opp":"Dan Ige","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":405.3,"y":145.7,"elo":1607,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Brian Ortega","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":538.5,"y":165.9,"elo":1591,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":7,"x":636.2,"y":140.8,"elo":1610,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Jean Silva","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":725,"y":160.1,"elo":1595,"date":"2026-01-31","opp":"Alexander Volkanovski","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":137.4,"elo":1613,"date":"2026-06-14","opp":"Steve Garcia","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 14, 2026 Steve Garcia W +18
Jan 31, 2026 Alexander Volkanovski L -15
Sep 13, 2025 Jean Silva W +20
Apr 12, 2025 Alexander Volkanovski L -16
Sep 14, 2024 Brian Ortega W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
4
57% of wins
SUB
1
14% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 4 (57%) 4 Sub: 1 (14%) 1 Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
2 40%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 462 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 12%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 23%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 3 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1683
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
5
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brian Ortega
Elo 1672 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.2
+2.8 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1660
1626
Notable wins
Brian Ortega 1672 Jean Silva 1657 Steve Garcia 1626 Dan Ige 1613 Sodiq Yusuff 1606

Top featherweight

See full rankings →
Alexander Volkanovski C
#1 · Elo 1697
Movsar Evloev
#2 · Elo 1693
Aljamain Sterling
#3 · Elo 1670
Lerone Murphy
#4 · Elo 1649
Arnold Allen
#5 · Elo 1635
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Diego Lopes on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.