Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainYair RodriguezvsJean Silva
- 2flyweightBrandon MorenovsJoseph Morales
- 3women's flyweightManon FiorotvsAlexa Grasso
- 4heavyweightWaldo Cortes AcostavsCurtis Blaydes
- 5bantamweightDavid MartinezvsDan Ige
- 6flyweightTim ElliottvsEdgar Chairez
- 7welterweightIgnacio BahamondesvsMuslim Salikhov
- 8middleweightKelvin GastelumvsYousri Belgaroui
- 10featherweightTommy McMillenvsMarwan Rahiki
- 11Not linkedfeatherweightRamiro JimenezvsRodrigo Vera
- 12lightweightDrakkar KlosevsTommy Gantt
- 13lightweightRafa GarciavsRongzhu
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
No stable weight basis for this pairing (catchweight history) — no size adjustment applied.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 11-6-0 | UFC record | 1-0-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 0 · Sub 0 |
| +2 | Streak | +1 |
| 33 | Age | 21 |
| 5'5" 165 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 67" 170 cm | Reach | 66" 168 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Southpaw |
| 1567 | Global Elo | 1500 |
| 1517 | Elo rating | 1474 |
JJ Aldrich — Notable ▼
- UFC veteran since 2016
Regina Tarin — Notable ▼
- Fight of the Night in last fight
JJ Aldrich — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 922 landed total · career
- Head 81%
- Body 13%
- Leg 6%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 9%
Regina Tarin — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 114 landed total · career
- Head 67%
- Body 30%
- Leg 4%
- Distance 80%
- Clinch 20%
- Ground 0%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carli Judice8.66
- 2Casey O'Neill7.89
- 3Wang Cong6.84
- 4Diana Belbita6.45
- 5Manon Fiorot5.66
- 1Wang Cong58%
- 2Zhang Weili53%
- 3Valentina Shevchenko53%
- 4Casey O'Neill52%
- 5Maycee Barber51%
- 1Valentina Shevchenko2.00
- 2Ivana Petrovic2.05
- 3Miranda Maverick2.25
- 4Natalia Silva2.36
- 5Dione Barbosa2.40
- 1Manon Fiorot67%
- 2Natalia Silva66%
- 3Dione Barbosa64%
- 4Jamey-Lyn Horth64%
- 5Rose Namajunas64%
- 1Eduarda Moura3.57
- 2Valentina Shevchenko2.65
- 3Jasmine Jasudavicius2.49
- 4Dione Barbosa2.42
- 5Juliana Miller2.38
- 1Brogan Walker75%
- 2Wang Cong67%
- 3Ernesta Kareckaite67%
- 4Diana Belbita63%
- 5Valentina Shevchenko62%
- 1Tereza Bleda100%
- 2Natalia Silva90%
- 3Manon Fiorot88%
- 4Wang Cong86%
- 5Carli Judice83%
- 1Dione Barbosa1.54
- 2Julija Stoliarenko1.41
- 3Karine Silva1.38
- 4Juliana Miller1.30
- 5Tereza Bleda1.05
- 1Tereza Bleda9.00
- 2Jasmine Jasudavicius7.29
- 3Eduarda Moura6.22
- 4Juliana Miller6.06
- 5Erin Blanchfield5.76
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1493 (JJ Aldrich) vs 1502 (Regina Tarin).
- Apr 18, 2026
- Mar 1, 2025
- May 11, 2024
- Oct 7, 2023
- Aug 26, 2023
- Feb 28, 2026