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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Size

Cross-division matchup: the model gives Ige +46 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.

Tale of the tape

3-0-0 UFC record 11-10-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 1
+3 Streak -2
28 Age 35
5'5" 165 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
67" 170 cm Reach 71" 180 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1598 Global Elo 1564
1572 Elo rating 1518
David Martinez — Notable
At a glance
Dan Ige — Notable
At a glance
  • 55% of wins by KO or submission
  • 36% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2018

David Martinez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 160 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 17%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 7%

Dan Ige — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 933 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 14%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.62
3.58
div avg 4.32
46%
45%
div avg 50%
2.83
3.67
div avg 3.34
70%
56%
div avg 58%
0.87
0.75
div avg 1.78
29%
22%
div avg 37%
100%
57%
div avg 70%
0.00
0.06
div avg 0.40
1
2
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

David Martinez
33% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Dan Ige
finished 10%
1 of 10 losses
Dan Ige
55% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 1
can finish?
David Martinez
finished
no losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Dan Ige has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1587 vs 1562, 2 quality wins to 2.

David Martinez red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1562
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rob Font
Elo 1636 at fight time
Expected wins
1.4
+1.6 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 3 fights
1441
1610
Dan Ige blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1587
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 11 UFC wins
Toughest win
Edson Barboza
Elo 1602 at fight time
Expected wins
10.7
+0.3 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights
1500
1598
Corner A recent form
David Martinez
Corner B recent form
Dan Ige
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from David Martinez & Dan Ige on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.