Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainYair RodriguezvsJean Silva
- 2flyweightBrandon MorenovsJoseph Morales
- 3women's flyweightManon FiorotvsAlexa Grasso
- 4heavyweightWaldo Cortes AcostavsCurtis Blaydes
- 6flyweightTim ElliottvsEdgar Chairez
- 7welterweightIgnacio BahamondesvsMuslim Salikhov
- 8middleweightKelvin GastelumvsYousri Belgaroui
- 9women's flyweightJJ AldrichvsRegina Tarin
- 10featherweightTommy McMillenvsMarwan Rahiki
- 11Not linkedfeatherweightRamiro JimenezvsRodrigo Vera
- 12lightweightDrakkar KlosevsTommy Gantt
- 13lightweightRafa GarciavsRongzhu
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
Share your result
Pick how you'd like to share. Copy image works in most chat / social apps — copy here, then paste into the post directly. Download saves a PNG you can attach manually.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Ige +46 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
Tale of the tape
| 3-0-0 | UFC record | 11-10-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 5 · Sub 1 |
| +3 | Streak | -2 |
| 28 | Age | 35 |
| 5'5" 165 cm | Height | 5'7" 170 cm |
| 67" 170 cm | Reach | 71" 180 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1598 | Global Elo | 1564 |
| 1572 | Elo rating | 1518 |
David Martinez — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · bantamweightTakedown Defense
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- Top 5 · bantamweightStriking Defense
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Felipe Lima65%
- 33% of wins finished in round 1
Dan Ige — Notable ▼
- 55% of wins by KO or submission
- 36% of wins finished in round 1
- UFC veteran since 2018
David Martinez — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 160 landed total · career
- Head 64%
- Body 17%
- Leg 19%
- Distance 89%
- Clinch 4%
- Ground 7%
Dan Ige — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 933 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 23%
- Leg 12%
- Distance 78%
- Clinch 8%
- Ground 14%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Victor Henry7.17
- 2Sean O'Malley5.97
- 3Adrian Yanez5.92
- 4Payton Talbott5.87
- 5Davey Grant5.58
- 1Changho Lee65%
- 2Sean O'Malley60%
- 3Nathan Fletcher60%
- 4Bryce Mitchell59%
- 5Payton Talbott59%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.1.34
- 2Montel Jackson1.37
- 3Bryce Mitchell1.51
- 4Jafel Filho1.52
- 5Rinya Nakamura1.52
- 1Suyoung You70%
- 2David Martinez70%
- 3Aiemann Zahabi68%
- 4Santiago Luna68%
- 5Felipe Lima65%
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.6.76
- 2Merab Dvalishvili5.97
- 3Rafael Estevam5.02
- 4Dan Argueta4.36
- 5Cristian Quinonez4.12
- 1Rinya Nakamura88%
- 2Elijah Smith75%
- 3Santiago Luna71%
- 4Montel Jackson61%
- 5Benardo Sopaj60%
- 1David Martinez100%
- 2Rinya Nakamura100%
- 3Quang Le100%
- 4Marcus Mcghee90%
- 5Xiao Long88%
- 1Toshiomi Kazama1.89
- 2Jafel Filho1.84
- 3Saimon Oliveira1.67
- 4Colby Thicknesse1.67
- 5Da'Mon Blackshear1.48
- 1Raul Rosas Jr.8.53
- 2Bryce Mitchell8.25
- 3Rinya Nakamura7.81
- 4Rafael Estevam7.79
- 5Dan Argueta6.10
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Dan Ige has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1587 vs 1562, 2 quality wins to 2.
- Feb 28, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- Mar 29, 2025
- Feb 21, 2026
- Jul 19, 2025
- Apr 12, 2025
- Oct 26, 2024
- Jun 29, 2024