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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

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By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Size

Cross-division matchup: the model gives Salikhov +60 Elo for a ~15 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.

Bahamondes

Has never been finished — all 4 losses went to the scorecards.

Bahamondes

Finishes 83% of wins (3 KO · 2 SUB; 50% of wins end in round 1).

Bahamondes

5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Form

Both enter off a loss (Mar 2026 / Nov 2025).

Bahamondes

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

6-4-0 UFC record 9-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 2 Finishes KO 5 · Sub 0
-2 Streak -1
28 Age 42
6'3" 191 cm Height 5'11" 180 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 70" 178 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1559 Global Elo 1607
1510 Elo rating 1559
Ignacio Bahamondes — Notable
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 83% of wins by KO or submission
Muslim Salikhov — Notable
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 56% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Ignacio Bahamondes — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 648 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
55% Head
  • Head 55%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
88% Distance
  • Distance 88%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 5%

Muslim Salikhov — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 427 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
84% Distance
  • Distance 84%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 10%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.80
3.37
div avg 4.53
46%
50%
div avg 51%
4.16
2.96
div avg 3.76
55%
62%
div avg 53%
0.00
1.07
div avg 1.86
0%
32%
div avg 37%
66%
72%
div avg 72%
0.67
0.00
div avg 0.65
1
1
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ignacio Bahamondes
83% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 2
can finish?
Muslim Salikhov
finished 80%
4 of 5 losses
Muslim Salikhov
56% finish rate
KO 5 · Sub 0
can finish?
Ignacio Bahamondes
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1543 (Ignacio Bahamondes) vs 1566 (Muslim Salikhov).

Ignacio Bahamondes red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1543
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Manuel Torres
Elo 1593 at fight time
Expected wins
5.1
+0.9 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1552
1471
Muslim Salikhov blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1566
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win
Francisco Trinaldo
Elo 1652 at fight time
Expected wins
7.2
+1.8 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 14 fights
1537
1544
Corner A recent form
Ignacio Bahamondes
Corner B recent form
Muslim Salikhov
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ignacio Bahamondes & Muslim Salikhov on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.