HonestElo
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Jonathan Pearce

Active #32 featherweight · Switch · 183 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1559 ±36
LCB 1513
Rank
#32
top 32% of division
UFC record
5-4-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Oct 12, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Joe Lauzon Δ-30Nov 28, 2020 — W vs Kai Kamaka Iii Δ+39Sep 25, 2021 — W vs Omar Morales Δ+38Feb 19, 2022 — W vs Christian Rodriguez Δ+25Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Makwan Amirkhani Δ+32Dec 3, 2022 — W vs Darren Elkins Δ+16Nov 18, 2023 — L vs Joanderson Brito Δ-21Apr 27, 2024 — L vs David Onama Δ-19Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Pat Sabatini Δ-19 14301488154516021660 20202021202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":199,"elo":1470,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Joe Lauzon","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":214.4,"y":163.3,"elo":1509,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Kai Kamaka Iii","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":355.3,"y":128.4,"elo":1547,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Omar Morales","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":3,"x":424,"y":105.3,"elo":1572,"date":"2022-02-19","opp":"Christian Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":496.1,"y":76.1,"elo":1603,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Makwan Amirkhani","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":5,"x":558.3,"y":61,"elo":1620,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Darren Elkins","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":722.1,"y":80.3,"elo":1599,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Joanderson Brito","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":7,"x":797.4,"y":97.7,"elo":1580,"date":"2024-04-27","opp":"David Onama","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":115.6,"elo":1561,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Pat Sabatini","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 12, 2024 Pat Sabatini L -19
Apr 27, 2024 David Onama L -19
Nov 18, 2023 Joanderson Brito L -21
Dec 3, 2022 Darren Elkins W +16
Jul 23, 2022 Makwan Amirkhani W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.81 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
53% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.60 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.58 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
50% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
50% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.79 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
3 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1568
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.6
actual 0 vs expected