HonestElo
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Kevin Vallejos

Active #8 featherweight
Elo rating
1635 ±20
LCB 1609
Rank
#8
top 7% of division
UFC record
4-0-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
+4
Δ90d +34 · Δ1y +104
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Mar 15, 2025 — W vs SeungWoo Choi Δ+32Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Danny Silva Δ+31Dec 13, 2025 — W vs Giga Chikadze Δ+39Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Josh Emmett Δ+34 14921537158316291675 2026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":189.8,"elo":1532,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"SeungWoo Choi","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":1,"x":351.7,"y":153.9,"elo":1563,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Danny Silva","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":663,"y":109,"elo":1601,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Giga Chikadze","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":70.2,"elo":1635,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Josh Emmett","result":"W","delta":34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Josh Emmett W +34
Dec 13, 2025 Giga Chikadze W +39
Aug 2, 2025 Danny Silva W +31
Mar 15, 2025 SeungWoo Choi W +32

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.57 avg 3.73
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.86 avg 2.98
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.86 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
33% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
90% avg 62%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
3 / 4
Finish rate
KO
3
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
25% of wins
KO: 3 (75%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (25%) 1
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1568
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual +2 vs expected