HonestElo
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Charles Rosa

Inactive · Switch · 175 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1478 ±38
LCB 1428
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-8-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 3
Streak
-3
Δ90d +19 · Δ1y +19
Last fight
Jul 23, 2022
L by Decision

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Oct 4, 2014 — L vs Dennis Siver Δ-23Jan 18, 2015 — W vs Sean Soriano Δ+30Jun 13, 2015 — L vs Yair Rodriguez Δ-26Jan 17, 2016 — W vs Kyle Bochniak Δ+30Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Shane Burgos Δ-31Oct 18, 2019 — W vs Manny Bermudez Δ+22May 9, 2020 — L vs Bryce Mitchell Δ-12Jun 13, 2020 — W vs Kevin Aguilar Δ+17Feb 20, 2021 — L vs Darrick Minner Δ-16Jun 26, 2021 — W vs Justin Jaynes Δ+14Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Damon Jackson Δ-17Jan 15, 2022 — L vs TJ Brown Δ-17Jul 23, 2022 — L vs Nathaniel Wood Δ-11 14191452148515181551 2016201820202022 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":142.3,"elo":1477,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Dennis Siver","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":1,"x":55.7,"y":94.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Sean Soriano","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":99.4,"y":137,"elo":1481,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Yair Rodriguez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":164.6,"y":88.2,"elo":1511,"date":"2016-01-17","opp":"Kyle Bochniak","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":4,"x":298.2,"y":138.4,"elo":1480,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Shane Burgos","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":574.3,"y":102.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Manny Bermudez","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":6,"x":635.3,"y":122.5,"elo":1490,"date":"2020-05-09","opp":"Bryce Mitchell","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":645.7,"y":95.7,"elo":1506,"date":"2020-06-13","opp":"Kevin Aguilar","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":721.1,"y":121.3,"elo":1490,"date":"2021-02-20","opp":"Darrick Minner","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":758.8,"y":98.9,"elo":1504,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Justin Jaynes","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":790.2,"y":126.5,"elo":1487,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Damon Jackson","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":11,"x":819.5,"y":153.5,"elo":1470,"date":"2022-01-15","opp":"TJ Brown","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":171.8,"elo":1459,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 23, 2022 Nathaniel Wood L -11
Jan 15, 2022 TJ Brown L -17
Oct 9, 2021 Damon Jackson L -17
Jun 26, 2021 Justin Jaynes W +14
Feb 20, 2021 Darrick Minner L -16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.99 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
36% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.74 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.62 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
35% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.97 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
2 / 5
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
40% of wins
DEC
3
60% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (40%) 2 Dec: 3 (60%) 3
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1495
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.1
actual -1 vs expected