← Back to event card
✓ Alexa Grasso won · by Decision · R3

Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso — Honest Elo matchup

Final result · recorded Sep 12, 2026
Alexa Grasso
defeated Manon Fiorot by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Manon Fiorot 66.5% · Alexa Grasso 33.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Manon Fiorot 59.3% · Alexa Grasso 40.7%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Fiorot

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

8-2-0 UFC record 10-5-1
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
-1 Streak +2
36 Age 33
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'5" 165 cm
65" 165 cm Reach 66" 168 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1653 Global Elo 1626
1608 Elo rating 1582
Manon Fiorot — Notable ▼
At a glance
Alexa Grasso — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • UFC veteran since 2016

Manon Fiorot — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 798 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 4%

Alexa Grasso — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1001 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
63% Head
  • Head 63%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
82% Distance
  • Distance 82%
  • Clinch 15%
  • Ground 3%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.57
4.19
div avg 4.16
41%
41%
div avg 45%
3.76
3.78
div avg 3.71
66%
60%
div avg 56%
0.94
0.38
div avg 1.37
29%
35%
div avg 38%
88%
55%
div avg 65%
0.00
0.63
div avg 0.39
2
1
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Manon Fiorot
38% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Alexa Grasso
finished 20%
1 of 5 losses
Alexa Grasso
30% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Manon Fiorot
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1641 (Manon Fiorot) vs 1662 (Alexa Grasso).

Manon Fiorot red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1641
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Erin Blanchfield
Elo 1666 at fight time
Expected wins
5.3
+2.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1500
1607
Alexa Grasso blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1662
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Valentina Shevchenko
Elo 1706 at fight time
Expected wins
7.3
+2.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1500
1672

Common opponents

3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Manon Fiorot
Corner B recent form
Alexa Grasso
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Manon Fiorot & Alexa Grasso on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.