Other bouts 12
- 1featherweight MainYair RodriguezvsJean Silva
- 2flyweightBrandon MorenovsJoseph Morales
- 3women's flyweightManon FiorotvsAlexa Grasso
- 4heavyweightWaldo Cortes AcostavsCurtis Blaydes
- 5bantamweightDavid MartinezvsDan Ige
- 6flyweightTim ElliottvsEdgar Chairez
- 7welterweightIgnacio BahamondesvsMuslim Salikhov
- 9women's flyweightJJ AldrichvsRegina Tarin
- 10featherweightTommy McMillenvsMarwan Rahiki
- 11Not linkedfeatherweightRamiro JimenezvsRodrigo Vera
- 12lightweightDrakkar KlosevsTommy Gantt
- 13lightweightRafa GarciavsRongzhu
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Independent UFC analytics
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Other fights on this card · 11
Notable
8 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Reach advantage of ~8".
Tale of the tape
| 14-11-0 | UFC record | 2-0-0 |
| KO 3 · Sub 2 | Finishes | KO 2 · Sub 0 |
| -1 | Streak | +2 |
| 34 | Age | 34 |
| 5'9" 175 cm | Height | 6'6" 198 cm |
| 71" 180 cm | Reach | 79" 201 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1595 | Global Elo | 1566 |
| 1553 | Elo rating | 1540 |
Kelvin Gastelum — Notable ▼
- UFC veteran since 2013
Yousri Belgaroui — Notable ▼
- 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Kelvin Gastelum — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1269 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 18%
- Leg 17%
- Distance 85%
- Clinch 9%
- Ground 6%
Yousri Belgaroui — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 196 landed total · career
- Head 65%
- Body 20%
- Leg 15%
- Distance 86%
- Clinch 11%
- Ground 3%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Marco Tulio7.07
- 2Djorden Santos6.97
- 3Gilbert Urbina6.68
- 4Jackson Mcvey6.51
- 5Ozzy Diaz6.36
- 1Jackson Mcvey69%
- 2Ryan Loder69%
- 3Shara Magomedov63%
- 4Bo Nickal62%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov61%
- 1Ismail Naurdiev1.75
- 2Donte Johnson1.82
- 3Cam Rowston1.98
- 4Bo Nickal2.00
- 5Cesar Almeida2.32
- 1Ismail Naurdiev65%
- 2Donte Johnson63%
- 3Ozzy Diaz63%
- 4Sean Strickland61%
- 5Michal Oleksiejczuk60%
- 1Anthony Hernandez5.91
- 2Jacob Malkoun5.39
- 3Khamzat Chimaev5.32
- 4Andre Muniz4.22
- 5Ikram Aliskerov3.66
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Donte Johnson100%
- 3Robert Bryczek100%
- 4Nursulton Ruziboev80%
- 5Ikram Aliskerov77%
- 1Ateba Gautier100%
- 2Ikram Aliskerov100%
- 3Bo Nickal100%
- 4Cam Rowston100%
- 5Baisangur Susurkaev100%
- 1Julian Marquez2.67
- 2Robert Valentin2.54
- 3Anthony Hernandez1.64
- 4Kyle Daukaus1.53
- 5Gerald Meerschaert1.49
- 1Khamzat Chimaev8.48
- 2Anthony Hernandez7.85
- 3Cam Rowston7.18
- 4Jacob Malkoun7.11
- 5Ryan Loder6.78
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1582 (Kelvin Gastelum) vs 1576 (Yousri Belgaroui).
- Apr 11, 2026
- Sep 13, 2025
- Jun 7, 2025
- Jun 22, 2024
- Dec 2, 2023
- Mar 28, 2026
- Oct 18, 2025