HonestElo
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Mairon Santos

Active #9 featherweight
Elo rating
1629 ±20
LCB 1603
Rank
#9
top 8% of division
UFC record
4-0-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +63
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Aug 24, 2024 — W vs Kaan Ofli Δ+41Mar 8, 2025 — W vs Francis Marshall Δ+25May 17, 2025 — W vs Sodiq Yusuff Δ+30Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Muhammad Naimov Δ+32 15011543158516271669 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":185.4,"elo":1541,"date":"2024-08-24","opp":"Kaan Ofli","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":1,"x":380.1,"y":153.8,"elo":1566,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Francis Marshall","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":507.2,"y":115.3,"elo":1597,"date":"2025-05-17","opp":"Sodiq Yusuff","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":74.6,"elo":1629,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Muhammad Naimov","result":"W","delta":32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Muhammad Naimov W +32
May 17, 2025 Sodiq Yusuff W +30
Mar 8, 2025 Francis Marshall W +25
Aug 24, 2024 Kaan Ofli W +41

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.84 avg 3.79
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.91 avg 3.01
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 43%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
2 / 4
Finish rate
KO
2
50% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
50% of wins
KO: 2 (50%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (50%) 2
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1542
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.0
actual +2 vs expected