← Back to event card
Gabriel Bonfim won · by Decision · R5
Final result · recorded Jun 7, 2026
Gabriel Bonfim
defeated Belal Muhammad by Decision in round 5

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Belal Muhammad 50.0% · Gabriel Bonfim 50.0%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Belal Muhammad 56.8% · Gabriel Bonfim 43.2%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Tale of the tape

15-6-0 UFC record 7-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 3
-3 Streak +5
37 Age 28
5'11" 180 cm Height 6'1" 185 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 72" 183 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1670 Global Elo 1658
1618 Elo rating 1623
Belal Muhammad — Notable
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2016
Gabriel Bonfim — Notable
At a glance

Belal Muhammad — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1507 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 9%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 5%
  • Ground 8%

Gabriel Bonfim — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 390 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 14%
  • Leg 28%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 7%
  • Ground 1%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.40
4.69
div avg 4.04
42%
48%
div avg 50%
3.92
3.56
div avg 3.06
55%
64%
div avg 56%
2.02
2.52
div avg 2.25
36%
52%
div avg 42%
90%
79%
div avg 72%
0.13
0.90
div avg 0.54
3
2
div avg 4

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Belal Muhammad
20% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 1
can finish?
Gabriel Bonfim
finished 100%
1 of 1 losses
Gabriel Bonfim
57% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 3
can finish?
Belal Muhammad
finished 17%
1 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Belal Muhammad has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1690 vs 1616, 6 quality wins to 4.

Belal Muhammad red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1690
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
6
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win
Leon Edwards
Elo 1747 at fight time
Expected wins
10.5
+4.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 21 fights
1552
1640
Gabriel Bonfim blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1616
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
4
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Belal Muhammad
Elo 1688 at fight time
Expected wins
3.8
+3.2 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 8 fights
1536
1688

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO
    Feb 11, 2017
    Nov 8, 2025
  • W
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Split
    Dec 18, 2021
    Jul 12, 2025
Corner A recent form
Belal Muhammad
Corner B recent form
Gabriel Bonfim
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Belal Muhammad & Gabriel Bonfim on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.