Other bouts 11
- 2middleweightBrendan AllenvsEdmen Shahbazyan
- 3lightweightFares ZiamvsTom Nolan
- 4bantamweightBryce MitchellvsSantiago Luna
- 5light heavyweightIwo BaraniewskivsJunior Tafa
- 6catch weightMatt SchnellvsAlessandro Costa
- 7bantamweightMarcus McGheevsJohn Yannis
- 8flyweightBruno SilvavsEdgar Chairez
- 9women's bantamweightPriscila CachoeiravsChelsea Chandler
- 10featherweightJordan LeavittvsJoanderson Brito
- 11Not linkedwomen's flyweightJeisla ChavesvsYuneisy Duben
- 12women's strawweightKetlen SouzavsAriane Carnelossi
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Belal Muhammad 50.0% · Gabriel Bonfim 50.0%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Belal Muhammad 56.8% · Gabriel Bonfim 43.2%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Notable
On a 5-fight win streak.
Tale of the tape
| 15-6-0 | UFC record | 7-1-0 |
| KO 2 · Sub 1 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 3 |
| -3 | Streak | +5 |
| 38 | Age | 28 |
| 5'11" 180 cm | Height | 6'1" 185 cm |
| 72" 183 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1670 | Global Elo | 1658 |
| 1618 | Elo rating | 1623 |
Belal Muhammad — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights
- UFC veteran since 2016
Gabriel Bonfim — Notable ▼
- 5-fight UFC win streak
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 57% of wins by KO or submission
- Top 5 · welterweightStriking Defense
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
Belal Muhammad — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1515 landed total · career
- Head 77%
- Body 14%
- Leg 9%
- Distance 87%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 8%
Gabriel Bonfim — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 390 landed total · career
- Head 58%
- Body 14%
- Leg 28%
- Distance 92%
- Clinch 7%
- Ground 1%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Carlos Leal8.75
- 2Daniil Donchenko8.07
- 3Daniel Rodriguez7.18
- 4Max Holloway6.92
- 5Jacobe Smith6.85
- 1Kiefer Crosbie64%
- 2Jacobe Smith63%
- 3Daniil Donchenko62%
- 4Chidi Njokuani62%
- 5Gunnar Nelson61%
- 1Islam Makhachev1.42
- 2Jeremiah Wells1.43
- 3Seokhyeon Ko1.47
- 4Michael Page1.57
- 5Michael Chiesa1.73
- 1Daniil Donchenko70%
- 2Seokhyeon Ko65%
- 3Gabriel Bonfim64%
- 4Muslim Salikhov62%
- 5Michael Page62%
- 1Myktybek Orolbai8.22
- 2Themba Gorimbo4.52
- 3Jacobe Smith4.52
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov3.91
- 5Colby Covington3.64
- 1Carlos Prates100%
- 2Jacobe Smith100%
- 3Themba Gorimbo63%
- 4Myktybek Orolbai60%
- 5Seokhyeon Ko59%
- 1Jacobe Smith100%
- 2Charles Radtke100%
- 3Kevin Jousset100%
- 4Rinat Fakhretdinov92%
- 5Islam Makhachev91%
- 1Preston Parsons2.31
- 2Mickey Gall1.58
- 3Ramiz Brahimaj1.44
- 4Jeremiah Wells1.31
- 5Shavkat Rakhmonov1.20
- 1Seokhyeon Ko8.40
- 2Rinat Fakhretdinov8.11
- 3Myktybek Orolbai8.08
- 4Themba Gorimbo7.92
- 5Charles Radtke7.71
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Belal Muhammad has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1690 vs 1616, 6 quality wins to 4.
Common opponents
2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.
- Jun 6, 2026
- Nov 22, 2025
- May 10, 2025
- Jul 27, 2024
- May 6, 2023
- Jun 6, 2026
- Nov 8, 2025
- Jul 12, 2025
- Feb 15, 2025
- Jul 13, 2024