← Back to event card
✓ Brendan Allen won · by Decision · R3

Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan — Honest Elo matchup

Final result · recorded Jun 7, 2026
Brendan Allen
defeated Edmen Shahbazyan by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Brendan Allen 66.5% · Edmen Shahbazyan 33.5%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Brendan Allen 62.7% · Edmen Shahbazyan 37.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Notable

Shahbazyan

Finishes 70% of wins (6 KO · 1 SUB; 60% of wins end in round 1).

Allen

6 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.

Tale of the tape

16-4-0 UFC record 10-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 8 Finishes KO 6 · Sub 1
+4 Streak +1
30 Age 28
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'2" 188 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 74" 188 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1712 Global Elo 1599
1671 Elo rating 1551
Brendan Allen — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 3 of last 5 fights
  • 63% of wins by KO or submission
Edmen Shahbazyan — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 70% of wins by KO or submission
  • 60% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2018

Brendan Allen — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 885 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
66% Head
  • Head 66%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 13%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 15%

Edmen Shahbazyan — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 554 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
73% Distance
  • Distance 73%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 14%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.60
3.94
div avg 4.55
52%
49%
div avg 52%
3.83
3.67
div avg 3.30
48%
52%
div avg 54%
1.59
1.39
div avg 1.53
41%
36%
div avg 44%
56%
67%
div avg 75%
1.04
0.32
div avg 0.46
5
2
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Brendan Allen
63% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 8
can finish?
Edmen Shahbazyan
finished 67%
4 of 6 losses
Edmen Shahbazyan
70% finish rate
KO 6 · Sub 1
can finish?
Brendan Allen
finished 50%
2 of 4 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Brendan Allen has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1611 vs 1583, 5 quality wins to 3.

Brendan Allen red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1611
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
5
of 16 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andre Muniz
Elo 1656 at fight time
Expected wins
11.3
+4.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 20 fights
1572
1618
Edmen Shahbazyan blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1583
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Andre Petroski
Elo 1626 at fight time
Expected wins
8.3
+1.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 16 fights
1495
1549

Common opponents

3 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    W
    Submission · R3
    KO/TKO · R1
    Feb 25, 2023
    Oct 4, 2025
  • L
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R3
    Feb 22, 2025
    May 20, 2023
  • L
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R2
    Sep 28, 2024
    Nov 6, 2021
Corner A recent form
Brendan Allen
Corner B recent form
Edmen Shahbazyan
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Brendan Allen & Edmen Shahbazyan on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.