Other bouts 11
- 1welterweight MainBelal MuhammadvsGabriel Bonfim
- 2middleweightBrendan AllenvsEdmen Shahbazyan
- 3lightweightFares ZiamvsTom Nolan
- 4bantamweightBryce MitchellvsSantiago Luna
- 6catch weightMatt SchnellvsAlessandro Costa
- 7bantamweightMarcus McGheevsJohn Yannis
- 8flyweightBruno SilvavsEdgar Chairez
- 9women's bantamweightPriscila CachoeiravsChelsea Chandler
- 10featherweightJordan LeavittvsJoanderson Brito
- 11Not linkedwomen's flyweightJeisla ChavesvsYuneisy Duben
- 12women's strawweightKetlen SouzavsAriane Carnelossi
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Iwo Baraniewski 74.7% · Junior Tafa 25.3%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Iwo Baraniewski 61.4% · Junior Tafa 38.6%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.
Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 10
Tale of the tape
| 3-0-0 | UFC record | 3-6-0 |
| KO 3 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 3 · Sub 0 |
| +3 | Streak | -1 |
| 27 | Age | 29 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 6'3" 191 cm |
| 73" 185 cm | Reach | 75" 191 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1580 | Global Elo | 1455 |
| 1554 | Elo rating | 1406 |
Iwo Baraniewski — Notable ▼
- 3-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- Top 5 · light heavyweightStrikes Landed per Minute
- 1Iwo Baraniewski11.29
- 2Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 3Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 4Paulo Costa6.15
- 5Navajo Stirling6.15
- Top 5 · light heavyweightTakedown Defense
- 1Iwo Baraniewski100%
- 2Zhang Mingyang100%
- 3Julius Walker100%
- 4Bruno Lopes100%
- 5Azamat Murzakanov89%
- Top 5 · light heavyweightKnockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Iwo Baraniewski17.82
- 2Zhang Mingyang1.50
- 3Azamat Murzakanov1.42
- 4Bogdan Guskov1.38
- 5Khalil Rountree Jr.1.31
Junior Tafa — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
- 67% of wins finished in round 1
- 88% takedown defense in last 3 fights
Iwo Baraniewski — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 38 landed total · career
- Head 76%
- Body 11%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 32%
- Clinch 16%
- Ground 53%
Junior Tafa — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 200 landed total · career
- Head 80%
- Body 18%
- Leg 3%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 13%
- Ground 10%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Iwo Baraniewski11.29
- 2Zhang Mingyang6.64
- 3Carlos Ulberg6.61
- 4Paulo Costa6.15
- 5Navajo Stirling6.15
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay61%
- 2Rodolfo Bellato59%
- 3Paulo Costa59%
- 4Zhang Mingyang59%
- 5Iwo Baraniewski57%
- 1Oumar Sy1.87
- 2Navajo Stirling2.53
- 3Magomed Ankalaev2.56
- 4Nikita Krylov2.59
- 5Austen Lane2.59
- 1Oumar Sy67%
- 2Caio Machado62%
- 3Navajo Stirling59%
- 4Diyar Nurgozhay59%
- 5Dustin Jacoby58%
- 1Jimmy Crute4.64
- 2Julius Walker4.09
- 3Ion Cutelaba4.02
- 4Bruno Lopes2.89
- 5Tuco Tokkos2.78
- 1Diyar Nurgozhay75%
- 2Modestas Bukauskas67%
- 3Carlos Ulberg60%
- 4Jiri Prochazka60%
- 5Jimmy Crute52%
- 1Iwo Baraniewski100%
- 2Zhang Mingyang100%
- 3Julius Walker100%
- 4Bruno Lopes100%
- 5Azamat Murzakanov89%
- 1Jimmy Crute2.13
- 2Nikita Krylov1.23
- 3Billy Elekana0.85
- 4Tuco Tokkos0.70
- 5Bogdan Guskov0.69
- 1Julius Walker8.20
- 2Austen Lane6.33
- 3Jimmy Crute6.02
- 4Bruno Lopes5.97
- 5Nikita Krylov5.48
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Junior Tafa has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1500 vs 1458, 0 quality wins to 0.
- Jun 6, 2026
- Mar 21, 2026
- Dec 6, 2025
- Jun 6, 2026
- May 2, 2026
- Jan 31, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- Oct 12, 2024