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✓ Iwo Baraniewski won · by TKO · R1

Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa — Honest Elo matchup

light heavyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Jun 6, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Iwo Baraniewski
#23 3-1-0
Elo 1512
VS
Corner B
Junior Tafa
#37 3-6-0
Elo 1406
Final result · recorded Jun 7, 2026
Iwo Baraniewski
defeated Junior Tafa by TKO in round 1

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Iwo Baraniewski 74.7% · Junior Tafa 25.3%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Iwo Baraniewski 61.4% · Junior Tafa 38.6%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 10
Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim Main event · welterweight Brendan Allen vs Edmen Shahbazyan middleweight Fares Ziam vs Tom Nolan lightweight Bryce Mitchell vs Santiago Luna bantamweight Matt Schnell vs Alessandro Costa catch weight Marcus McGhee vs John Yannis bantamweight Bruno Silva vs Edgar Chairez flyweight Priscila Cachoeira vs Chelsea Chandler women's bantamweight Jordan Leavitt vs Joanderson Brito featherweight Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi women's strawweight

Notable

Baraniewski

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Form

Both enter off a loss (Sep 2026 / Jun 2026).

Tale of the tape

3-1-0 UFC record 3-6-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 3 · Sub 0
-1 Streak -1
27 Age 30
6'0" 183 cm Height 6'3" 191 cm
73" 185 cm Reach 75" 191 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1552 Global Elo 1455
1512 Elo rating 1406
Iwo Baraniewski — Notable ▼
At a glance
Junior Tafa — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 67% of wins finished in round 1
  • 88% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Iwo Baraniewski — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 105 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
77% Head
  • Head 77%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 7%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
59% Distance
  • Distance 59%
  • Clinch 21%
  • Ground 20%

Junior Tafa — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 200 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
80% Head
  • Head 80%
  • Body 18%
  • Leg 3%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
77% Distance
  • Distance 77%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 10%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.72
3.53
div avg 4.82
56%
52%
div avg 52%
5.01
2.70
div avg 3.84
59%
52%
div avg 54%
0.82
0.00
div avg 1.87
20%
—
div avg 42%
83%
73%
div avg 68%
0.00
0.00
div avg 1.65
4
0
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Iwo Baraniewski
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Junior Tafa
finished 83%
5 of 6 losses
Junior Tafa
100% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Iwo Baraniewski
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1491 (Iwo Baraniewski) vs 1500 (Junior Tafa).

Iwo Baraniewski red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1491
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ibo Aslan
Elo 1486 at fight time
Expected wins
2.3
+0.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1486
1592
Junior Tafa blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1500
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Parker Porter
Elo 1512 at fight time
Expected wins
4.1
−1.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 9 fights
1533
1554
Corner A recent form
Iwo Baraniewski
Corner B recent form
Junior Tafa
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Iwo Baraniewski & Junior Tafa on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.