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Nicolas Dalby "Lokomotivo"

Active #40 welterweight · age 41 · Orthodox · 5'11" 180 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • UFC veteran since 2015
Elo rating
1524
Global Elo 1573 ±37
Rank
#40
top 53% of division
UFC record
8-5-1
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 7
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +13
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
3h 16m
Avg fight time
14:01
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
1.3
Ground control
45m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
May 30, 2015 — W vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Δ+29Oct 24, 2015 — D vs Darren Till Δ+0Apr 10, 2016 — L vs Zak Cummings Δ-26Sep 3, 2016 — L vs Peter Sobotta Δ-31Sep 28, 2019 — W vs Alex Oliveira Δ+38Nov 21, 2020 — W vs Daniel Rodriguez Δ+20Jun 26, 2021 — L vs Tim Means Δ-14Jul 23, 2022 — W vs Claudio Silva Δ+20Jan 21, 2023 — W vs Warlley Alves Δ+18Jun 17, 2023 — W vs Muslim Salikhov Δ+19Nov 4, 2023 — W vs Gabriel Bonfim Δ+18Jun 22, 2024 — L vs Rinat Fakhretdinov Δ-16Apr 26, 2025 — L vs Randy Brown Δ-15Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Saygid Izagakhmaev Δ+13 14001425145014751500152515501575 20172019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":263,"elo":1480,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":117.6,"y":262.8,"elo":1481,"date":"2015-10-24","opp":"Darren Till","result":"D","delta":0},{"i":2,"x":149.4,"y":310.7,"elo":1454,"date":"2016-04-10","opp":"Zak Cummings","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":176.9,"y":367,"elo":1424,"date":"2016-09-03","opp":"Peter Sobotta","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":387.5,"y":297.4,"elo":1462,"date":"2019-09-28","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"W","delta":38},{"i":5,"x":466.5,"y":261,"elo":1482,"date":"2020-11-21","opp":"Daniel Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":6,"x":507.3,"y":287.5,"elo":1467,"date":"2021-06-26","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":7,"x":581,"y":251.1,"elo":1487,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Claudio Silva","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":8,"x":615.2,"y":218.4,"elo":1505,"date":"2023-01-21","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":642.8,"y":183.6,"elo":1524,"date":"2023-06-17","opp":"Muslim Salikhov","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":10,"x":669.2,"y":150,"elo":1542,"date":"2023-11-04","opp":"Gabriel Bonfim","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":11,"x":712.6,"y":178.5,"elo":1527,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Rinat Fakhretdinov","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":12,"x":770.5,"y":206.8,"elo":1511,"date":"2025-04-26","opp":"Randy Brown","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":810,"y":182.5,"elo":1524,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Saygid Izagakhmaev","result":"W","delta":13}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Saygid Izagakhmaev W +13
Apr 26, 2025 Randy Brown L -15
Jun 22, 2024 Rinat Fakhretdinov L -16
Nov 4, 2023 Gabriel Bonfim W +18
Jun 17, 2023 Muslim Salikhov W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
13%
1 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
7
88% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 7 (88%) 7
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 752 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
60% Head
  • Head 60%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
61% Distance
  • Distance 61%
  • Clinch 31%
  • Ground 8%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
20%
of losses by finish
1 of 5
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 4 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1584
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Muslim Salikhov
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.4
+1.6 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 14 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500
Notable wins
Muslim Salikhov 1620 Claudio Silva 1602

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Nicolas Dalby on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.