HonestElo
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Demian Maia

Inactive Retired · Southpaw · 185 cm · reach 183 cm
Retired. Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
Elo rating
1637 ±35
LCB 1592
Rank
UFC record
22-11-0
KO 1 · Sub 11 · Dec 10
Streak
-2
Δ90d -25 · Δ1y -25
Last fight
Jun 12, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

33 fights · tap & drag
Oct 20, 2007 — W vs Ryan Jensen Δ+30Apr 19, 2008 — W vs Ed Herman Δ+33Aug 9, 2008 — W vs Jason MacDonald Δ+33Nov 15, 2008 — W vs Nate Quarry Δ+33Feb 21, 2009 — W vs Chael Sonnen Δ+19Aug 29, 2009 — L vs Nate Marquardt Δ-20Feb 6, 2010 — W vs Dan Miller Δ+12Apr 10, 2010 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-13Aug 28, 2010 — W vs Mario Miranda Δ+11Dec 4, 2010 — W vs Kendall Grove Δ+12Jun 11, 2011 — L vs Mark Munoz Δ-19Oct 8, 2011 — W vs Jorge Santiago Δ+8Jan 28, 2012 — L vs Chris Weidman Δ-18Jul 7, 2012 — W vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ+19Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Rick Story Δ+17Feb 2, 2013 — W vs Jon Fitch Δ+18Oct 9, 2013 — L vs Jake Shields Δ-21Feb 22, 2014 — L vs Rory MacDonald Δ-18May 31, 2014 — W vs Alexander Yakovlev Δ+10Mar 21, 2015 — W vs Ryan LaFlare Δ+15Aug 1, 2015 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+16Dec 12, 2015 — W vs Gunnar Nelson Δ+13May 14, 2016 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+15Aug 27, 2016 — W vs Carlos Condit Δ+14May 13, 2017 — W vs Jorge Masvidal Δ+12Jul 29, 2017 — L vs Tyron Woodley Δ-24Oct 28, 2017 — L vs Colby Covington Δ-19May 19, 2018 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-16Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Lyman Good Δ+12Jun 29, 2019 — W vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ+12Oct 26, 2019 — W vs Ben Askren Δ+10Mar 14, 2020 — L vs Gilbert Burns Δ-22Jun 12, 2021 — L vs Belal Muhammad Δ-19 14901560163016991769 2010201320162019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":205.6,"elo":1530,"date":"2007-10-20","opp":"Ryan Jensen","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":55.1,"y":180.3,"elo":1564,"date":"2008-04-19","opp":"Ed Herman","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":74.3,"y":155.1,"elo":1597,"date":"2008-08-09","opp":"Jason MacDonald","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":91,"y":129.8,"elo":1630,"date":"2008-11-15","opp":"Nate Quarry","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":107.8,"y":115.2,"elo":1649,"date":"2009-02-21","opp":"Chael Sonnen","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":5,"x":140.1,"y":130.7,"elo":1629,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":167.6,"y":121.3,"elo":1641,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Dan Miller","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":7,"x":178.4,"y":131.3,"elo":1628,"date":"2010-04-10","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":8,"x":202.3,"y":123.1,"elo":1639,"date":"2010-08-28","opp":"Mario Miranda","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":9,"x":219.1,"y":114.3,"elo":1650,"date":"2010-12-04","opp":"Kendall Grove","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":10,"x":251.4,"y":128.9,"elo":1631,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":11,"x":271.7,"y":122.7,"elo":1639,"date":"2011-10-08","opp":"Jorge Santiago","result":"W","delta":8},{"i":12,"x":290.8,"y":136.6,"elo":1621,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Chris Weidman","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":318.4,"y":122.1,"elo":1640,"date":"2012-07-07","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":14,"x":335.1,"y":109.4,"elo":1657,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Rick Story","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":354.3,"y":95.8,"elo":1675,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Jon Fitch","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":16,"x":396.8,"y":112.1,"elo":1653,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"Jake Shields","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":17,"x":420.1,"y":125.6,"elo":1636,"date":"2014-02-22","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":18,"x":436.8,"y":118,"elo":1646,"date":"2014-05-31","opp":"Alexander Yakovlev","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":19,"x":487.1,"y":106.9,"elo":1660,"date":"2015-03-21","opp":"Ryan LaFlare","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":20,"x":509.8,"y":94.8,"elo":1676,"date":"2015-08-01","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":21,"x":532.6,"y":85.2,"elo":1689,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Gunnar Nelson","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":22,"x":558.9,"y":73.8,"elo":1704,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":23,"x":576.8,"y":63.5,"elo":1717,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Carlos Condit","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":24,"x":621.1,"y":54.4,"elo":1729,"date":"2017-05-13","opp":"Jorge Masvidal","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":25,"x":634.3,"y":72.9,"elo":1705,"date":"2017-07-29","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":26,"x":649.8,"y":87.4,"elo":1686,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Colby Covington","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":27,"x":684.5,"y":99.8,"elo":1670,"date":"2018-05-19","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":28,"x":728.8,"y":90.7,"elo":1682,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Lyman Good","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":29,"x":753.9,"y":81.7,"elo":1693,"date":"2019-06-29","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":30,"x":774.3,"y":74.2,"elo":1703,"date":"2019-10-26","opp":"Ben Askren","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":31,"x":798.2,"y":90.8,"elo":1681,"date":"2020-03-14","opp":"Gilbert Burns","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":32,"x":876,"y":105.2,"elo":1662,"date":"2021-06-12","opp":"Belal Muhammad","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 12, 2021 Belal Muhammad L -19
Mar 14, 2020 Gilbert Burns L -22
Oct 26, 2019 Ben Askren W +10
Jun 29, 2019 Anthony Rocco Martin W +12
Feb 2, 2019 Lyman Good W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.66 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.90 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
64% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.29 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
62% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.91 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
55%
12 / 22
Finish rate
KO
1
5% of wins
SUB
11
50% of wins
DEC
10
45% of wins
KO: 1 (5%) Sub: 11 (50%) 11 Dec: 10 (45%) 10
Finishes by round
12 total
R1
7 58%
R2
2 17%
R3
3 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1581
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
19.3
actual +3 vs expected